Reply #2: For this I take Lucky off Ignore? [View All]

[Shorebound]

In the earlier thread the discussion seemed to focus on the idea that Collins can't be beat if the decision stays local, IOW if people vote for the person rather than the party. If we can tie Collins to the larger national debate over which party is the better leader, then Allen has a chance. But that higher level debate traditionally hasn't done well in Maine, where almost all of us either know or know someone who knows the candidates personally. Both Collins and Snowe throw some serious weight in the Senate just by standing in the middle and acting as swing votes with other moderates. Besides, Collins can fire back by portraying Tom as being too liberal for Maine to send to the Senate.

As much as I would like to think Lucky's predictions are accurate, it will be a very tough race, and not one single vote should be taken for granted.