Reply #6: TruthIsAll, suppose Bush voters... [View All]

[Rex_Goodheart]

returned to the polls in 2004, but Democrats stayed away?

In other words, even if 9% of each switched parties, Bush could have gained his 3.2 million vote majority if 100% of his voters returned while only 93% of Democrats did... wouldn't this also partially explain the 43%/37% mystery, i.e why more people said they had voted for Bush in 2000?

Edited to add the following:

Actually, though, it seems that this election needed near 100% of both parties to numerically make sense. The Mitofsky exit poll says that 17% of voters were new, which is near 21 million... So I guess we need both sets of 48 million to reach 122 million total.