Are these Florida Precinct Reports a smoking gun or not? Part #2 [View All]

[adolfo]

I’m continuing this thread because the other one has grown too large.

The original thread was about “twin” anomalies discovered within the precinct and voter statistics reports of Florida. For those not familiar with the issue please visit the link below for more info.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=203&topic_id=353198&mesg_id=353198

Personally, I think the anomaly is significant since it *strongly* indicates automatic vote manipulation.

The main question was “Is the anomaly random?” After reading all the arguments I’ve found TruthIsAll’s analyses the most credible and thorough. He not only tried multiple scenarios but also explained his equations in detail (See below).

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TruthIsAll’s Analyses
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Vote Register
High 400 1200
Low 100 200
PCT Diff
AVG 253 690 46.2 31.4
MAX 400 1200 192.0 173.6
MIN 100 200 8.5 0.0
Diff 300 1000 183.5 173.6

Sim Matches:4 (1 in 950)
Probability (>=14): 1 in 13263


Prct Vote Reg Pct Diff
79 270 1051 25.7 0.0 1 Match
2060 357 845 42.2 0.0 1 Match
2576 371 730 50.8 0.0 1 Match
3553 262 668 39.2 0.0 1 Match



Prct Vote Reg Pct Diff MATCH
1 232 921 25.2
2 127 779 16.3 8.9
3 283 375 75.5 59.2
4 160 896 17.9 57.6
5 391 371 105.4 87.5
6 205 611 33.6 71.8
7 281 743 37.8 4.2
8 256 467 54.8 17.0
9 267 1028 26.0 28.8
10 219 426 51.4 25.4
11 246 282 87.2 35.8
12 325 1183 27.5 59.7
13 281 851 33.0 5.5
14 348 739 47.1 14.1
15 170 766 22.2 24.9
16 325 495 65.7 43.5
17 125 683 18.3 47.4
18 312 942 33.1 14.8
19 306 242 126.4 93.3
20 264 1081 24.4 102.0
21 132 1177 11.2 13.2
22 264 1142 23.1 11.9
23 353 992 35.6 12.5
24 120 597 20.1 15.5
25 222 1116 19.9 0.2
26 124 1145 10.8 9.1
27 377 836 45.1 34.3
28 366 986 37.1 8.0
29 366 1145 32.0 5.1
30 127 378 33.6 1.6
31 169 467 36.2 2.6
32 360 551 65.3 29.1
33 237 559 42.4 22.9
34 101 1016 9.9 32.5
35 206 286 72.0 62.1
36 277 528 52.5 19.5
37 249 662 37.6 14.9
38 281 901 31.2 6.4
39 123 645 19.1 12.1
40 352 381 92.4 73.3
41 342 917 37.3 55.1
42 348 984 35.4 1.9
43 400 269 148.7 113.3
44 248 849 29.2 119.5
45 163 439 37.1 7.9
46 223 1078 20.7 16.4
47 264 1002 26.3 5.6
48 232 438 53.0 26.7
49 276 1085 25.4 27.6
50 275 1148 24.0 1.4
51 373 876 42.6 18.6
52 246 945 26.0 16.6
53 349 268 130.2 104.2
54 195 902 21.6 108.6
55 327 917 35.7 14.1
56 191 1056 18.1 17.6
57 204 724 28.2 10.1
58 303 844 35.9 7.7
59 357 242 147.5 111.6
60 265 357 74.2 73.3
61 275 1175 23.4 50.8
62 389 470 82.8 59.4
63 302 577 52.3 30.5
64 117 1033 11.3 41.0
65 337 328 102.7 91.4
66 386 705 54.8 47.9
67 187 486 38.5 16.3
68 344 724 47.5 9.0
69 120 1057 11.4 36.1
70 342 1114 30.7 19.3
71 230 1024 22.5 8.2
72 381 611 62.4 39.9
73 299 557 53.7 8.7
74 388 872 44.5 9.2
75 362 336 107.7 63.2
76 168 321 52.3 55.4
77 197 308 64.0 11.7
78 307 1193 25.7 38.3
79 270 1051 25.7 0.0 1 Match
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This second post is an attempt to gain more opinions from everyone. Do YOU think it is a smoking gun? Please back up your claims with something solid if you want to provide an argument. It is up to the reader to decide.

The odds are greater against finding more “twins”. Private research in this area will continue and I encourage anyone interested to get involved.