Reply #33: Touch screens preset to record Kerry when Bush selected? [View All]

[mgr]

Seriously, the difference is between large urbanized counties with strong democratic support versus smaller counties with republican support. If you take the county results from 2000 and compare them, the distribution of the vote will be approximately the same.

TIA, I just cannot take you seriously anymore--compare the national exit poll results with the results from Florida. That is a completely inane comparison, and characteristic of the analytical skills of a first year freshman, not someone with two masters.

It only costs $79 to purchase a CD with the precinct level data for NEP, so why would you make this comparison? Too cheap, or just don't know how to build a state sample from the precinct data? You have had sufficient time, since its been available since March or earlier.

Berniew, you need to agglomerate the precinct data from both the national election precincts and the state precincts, it may provide a sufficient MOE to separate from the reported results given the appropriate F test and/or goodness of fit test. I'm working on getting that data since I have been cash strapped for the past five months, something about my daughter totaling her car, otherwise I would have your answer.

Mike