papau
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Thu Oct-20-05 07:34 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
10. The procedure is not in question - indeed expected -but ditching the |
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targets is what the reweighting is all about. To hold a variable constant is curious. You are implying there is no field input post the start of polling and the first report that would change the sex split for the final report. I posit that there is no field input to make any of the changes in the weighting - there is only the standard procedure to fit the data to "actual". Holding one variable constant in doing that fit makes for an earlier going home time.
The only Mitofsky "con" is the lack of discussion about how drastic the reweighting to get the "more accurate" actual was compared to what might have been expected.
On DU I am loose with words, and you are correct I should not call the Mitofsky reweighting a "con" - but I expected a TruthisAll type analysis of the extent of the rewieght- heck someone could have mentioned the other org exit polls that showed Hispanic staying at the same GOP/DEM breakout as in prior elections - and asked why Mitofsky after rewieght showed a major, major change moving that group to almost a 50/50 split.
Surely smell test results like the Hispanic subset demanded more of a discussion than Mitofsky has given us to date.
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