Reply #13: Thank you for this [View All]

[sharonking21]

The fear-mongers among us are playing this for all it's worth. First of all, the important number is NOT the X% "mortality rate"--(really a case fatality rate, but no matter). You can have a 100% case fatality rate and still not have a widespread epidemic.

The ones harping on this particular statistic are trying to mislead people. What is REALLY important is the rate of transmission. There is no evidence whatsoever that Marburg is spreading wildly in Angola.

For earlier discussions in which I attempted to explain various facets of the epidemiology of Marburg and Ebola, go to:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=102&topic_id=1377255

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=228x5661