Reply #3: Here goes...complete with Dark Horse Shockers [View All]

[bklyncowgirl]

DEMOCRATS:

Clinton's got organization but Obama's got passion & reportedly, a little help from his friends (Kucinich, possibly Biden & Richardson). Edwards has both organization & passion making him second choice. Richardson's been moving up in the polls and so has Biden. Dodd, sadly, seems dead in the water.

Trifecta: Obama 27, Edwards 22, Clinton 20

Democratic Dark Horse Shocker--Bill Richardson beats one of the big three.

REPUBLICANS:

Iowa Republicans LOVE fundamentalists--Didn's Pat Robertson win this or do surprisingly well some years back? Huckabees got the passion. The Grover Norquist/Rush Limbaugh crowd is for Romney but do they love him enough (or hate Huckabee enough) to turn out? McCain is roundly disliked in Iowa, and hasn't put an effort in here, but Republicans who still have one foot in realityland may decide to go for him as the strongest general election candidate. Ron Paul's polling low but it could be they're not polling the right people--his supporters will walk through a blizzard to vote for him.

Trifecta: Huckabee 25%, Romney 20%, McCain 17%

Republican Dark Horse Shocker: Ron Paul comes out of nowhere to take third or even second.