Reply #13: What are you basing your speculation on? [View All]

[cali]

Fact: 50% of dem primary voters there are African American.
Fact: The majority of those voters support Obama
Fact Edwards is polling under 15%in SC. The polls were off last night re Clinton and Obama. They were accurate about Edwards
Fact: Edwards is polling so badly among AA voters there, that his support is barely measurable

How do you see Edwards peeling off AA voters? What could he do to persuade them not to vote for an AA candidate with a compelling history of working for the disenfranchised in the inner city? How can he peel them off from Clinton, considering the enormous regard that AA voters have for the Clintons?

Edwards will not gain momentum from his distant 3rd place finish in NH. He is far behind in NV and will likely come in a distant third there.

I'm as likely to win the lottery as Edwards is to win SC.