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Last Night Was No Big Deal [View All]

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MessiahRp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jan-09-08 09:54 AM
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Last Night Was No Big Deal
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Hillary can try to spin it as some great "comeback". The media can overexaggerate this as the "biggest political comeback in history", which they have done. Facts are she won a neighboring state to her own and a state that tends to vote for the "safe" pick as they did with McCain. Let's also not forget how small NH is as a whole and how few delegates they give to the winner.

I think that while the Nevada and South Carolina primaries will be interesting the real barometer will be if she cleans up in the larger states on February 5th.

I personally think that this will be a fractured primary with Obama winning some states, Clinton winning some and Edwards winning a few as well and as much as most people bemoan the early dates at which this process is moving forward, this could play out well into the later primaries (which I am hoping occurs because my primary vote isn't until 2/19).

For those of us that do not want anything resembling another Clinton/DLC reign there is hope that other states will swing this election away from Hillary. If you think of Edwards and Obama as similar in message (if not approach) then you can take away from last night that close to 60% of the voters on the Democratic side voted against Hillary and the status quo.

After either Obama or Edwards drop out, the supporters of change will have just one candidate and Hillary cannot battle that deeper into the primaries.

So this will play out for awhile. Consider last night a brief blip on the radar because NH doesn't represent that big of a win overall when delegates are counted and all the real major states are coming up.

If she starts sweeping on the 5th, then we need to be worried.

Rp
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