Should UCLA researchers get BIN LADEN $25 M REWARD: named ABBOTTABAD as likely OBL HIDEOUT [View All]

[Distant Observer]

At least a part of the $25 mill would be nice.

88.9% chance Bin Laden was in Abbottabad, Pakistan

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2011/05/report-ucla-geographers-predicted-bin-ladens-hideout-2-years-ago.html


UCLA geographers Thomas Gillespie and John Agnew and a class of undergraduates published a 2009 paper predicting the location of Bin Laden and guessing he would be in a large town rather than a cave.

Photos: Osama bin Laden dead

The paper named the city of Parachinar as his most likely hide-out, and the model the researchers used said there was an 88.9% chance Bin Laden was in Abbottabad, Pakistan, according to the blog by the publishers of the journal Science:

The Bin Laden tracking idea began as a project in an undergraduate class on remote sensing that Gillespie, whose expertise is using remote sensing data from satellites to study ecosystems, taught in 2009. Based on information from satellites and other remote sensing systems, and reports on his movements since his last known location, the students created a probabilistic model of where he was likely to be.