CASEY WIDENS LEAD OVER SANTORUM IN PENNSYLVANIA

[Freddie Stubbs]

CASEY WIDENS LEAD OVER SANTORUM IN PENNSYLVANIA,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;

VOTERS LEAN TO PRO-CHOICE SIDE OF ABORTION DEBATE

Democratic State Treasurer Robert Casey Jr. holds a 51 – 36 percent lead over incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum in the Pennsylvania Senate race, with 10 percent undecided, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 – 38 percent Casey lead in a December 13, 2005, poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN uh-pe-ack) University.

In this latest survey, Republicans back Santorum 70 – 21 percent, while Democrats back Casey 80 – 12 percent and independent voters back the Democrat 52 - 29 percent. Men back Casey 49 – 38 percent and women back him 53 – 35 percent.

more: http://www.politicspa.com/temp/clay_f.htm

[neverevergivein]

1. i'm glad Casey is winning but...

I do expect to be disappointed in him as a Senator, again and again.

[babylonsister]

2. Aw, poor Ricky. I hope he has a back-up job waiting. nt

[SKKY]

14. He'll probably get a short-lived show on Fox...

[the other one]

3. I predict another Lieberman

Maybe thats harsh, but he seems a natural go-to guy if you are looking for a Democrat who doesn't agree with the base.

[liberalhistorian]

9. I do understand what

you're saying, but if he gets Santorum out of the senate, then that's the most important thing.

Santorum, one of the finest minds of the 13th century!

[NJ Democrats]

18. Maybe

but if that gets Santorum out of the Senate it's worth it.

[NYC Liberal]

21. I'd rather have a Lieberman than a Santorum, who we have no

chance in hell of getting to vote our way.

[saltpoint]

4. Some of us would prefer a pro-Choice Democrat but very few of us

would forestall a defeat of the notorious Rick Santorum.

Go Democrats.

[BlueEyedSon]

5. Chuck Pennacchio is the real deal, unfortunately

[rodeodance]

6. good news to hear.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

12. Wow, look at those hearts. people must LOVE you !

[MissMillie]

7. Anyone know....?

This is one seat that looks to turn Dem in November's elections. Is there anyone keeping track of what the overall picture will look like come January?

[ramapodem]

11. Somewhat

As it stand right now we have a good shot at picking up at least three or four seats ( PA, MT, TN,and RI) In Rhode Island Chaffee may not even get out of the republican primary. And NV, OH, VA, AZ, MO are seriously in play.

[Lexingtonian]

15. throw in the Vermont seat, too

The Vermont, Pennysylvania, Montana, and Rhode Island seats are looking bad to hopeless for the Other Side. The Ohio and Missouri seats are running pretty tight, there's no sense of a decision in the electorate about them yet. Their boys are slipping out of contention in the three or four Democratic seats held to be vulnerable. There's still a bit of hope that Olympia Snowe will retire, putting the Maine seat in play as well. On our side I worry about Bob Byrd's health- we need him to hang in until next summer- more than anything else. Right now the middle result imho is Democrats +5, to 49 seats.

The race I'm following as the one as the small scale model of the national picture and sense of the national balance of power is the one in Nevada. John Ensign's approval rating (i.e. upper limit of votes he can receive) was 65% in September, 54% in December, and polled at 50% a week or two ago (standard moe 3%). Nevada's baseline is 45% Republican and 35% Democrat, but their Indies are getting more and more Democratic. The 2004 elections had Nevada split 52/47 and there's a national Democratic trend of 1%, perhaps higher in the state.

Picking up seats in the South- Virginia and Tennessee- this year strikes me as doubtful. The news and numbers out of Arizona are not that good but it could be that Kyl- a painfully obnoxious and unrepentant hardliner/idiot- flames out with Arizona Indies later this year.

[rg302200]

23. DeWine will NOT beat Brown...

You can trust me on that one, this seat will go blue.

I agree with you on all your points but I am worried about the Maryland and New Jersey seats. The last poll I checked showed our candidates behind the Republican challengers. That was awhile ago though, do you have any recent polls in regards to those states?

[180209]

8. This race is a good example of what the party MUST do!

It is still quite early so don't count any chicks yet. But, here we are seeing this candidate and Dems TARGETING and R (and who better to target than the out-of-touch Santorum). Additionally, a D who disagrees in principle with the majority of D's on some issues is being embraced. No D has to be a watered-down R, but at the same time we can and MUST be a big-tent party if we are going to win everywhere in America. This is just the plain truth, and anyone who can't see this is blind and in fantasyland. Very liberal D's suffer in many areas of the South, West, and Midwest in national elections, and the R's have beaten us time and again on both message and organization. However, more moderate D's with progressive/populist economic agendas but more moderate to conservative on some of the social issues CAN win. Again, WE MUST BE A BIG-TENT PARTY!! THERE IS ROOM FOR MORE MODERATE D's AS WELL AS MORE PROGRESSIVE D's BECAUSE WE CAN ALL AGREE, TO LARGE EXTENT, ON CORE IDEALS AND PRINCIPLES WITH ROOM FOR SOME DISAGREEMENT ON PARTICULARS. To win in '06 we need to make it a national referendum on the Washington R's with a clear values-based THEME (or NARRATIVE) (i.e. "The R's are out of touch, out of tune, and out of time!"), a united and compelling "Contract With America" type agenda, united grassroots organization and campaigning on the ground EVERYWHERE in ALL 50 STATES, targeting Republicans all over the country, a new sense of backbone, and a firmly UNITED, BIG-TENT mindset. WE MUST MAKE IT ABOUT VALUES, AND CLEARLY COMMUNICATE OUR VALUES AND A COMPELLING AGENDA, STARTING WITH A SMARTER NATIONAL SECURITY PLAN, FOR ALL AMERICANS. WE MUST ATTACK THE REPUBLICANS AND THEIR FAILURES AND CONVINCE AMERICANS THAT THEY CAN NO LONGER BE TRUSTED. AND WE NEED A CREDIBLE NATIONAL SECURITY MESSAGE AND A CLEAR NEW PLAN FOR IRAQ BECAUSE THESE ARE WHERE THE R's STILL BEAT US. SO LET'S GET OUT THERE AND GET IT DONE!

[Mandate My Ass]

16. He has no core ideals in common with me

Every six years, PA’s Democratic Party seeks the perfect Senate candidate - a combination of name recognition, ideology and fundraising skill. In 44 years this formula has produced 14 consecutive full-term election defeats for U.S. Senate.

http://www.chuck2006.com/caseyfacts.asp

One of the basic strategies of the Casey campaign is to lay low, keep away from 'unmanaged' voter encounters, and generally stay off the media radar. There's a good reason for that, and it was highlighted by the results of a December 2005 Quinnipiac poll.

The poll shows that support for Bob Casey Jr. in the 2006 U.S. Senate race will sink as voters abandon ship over his opposition to legal abortion. The poll revealed that when voters are informed that Bob Casey Jr. and Rick Santorum both oppose legalized abortion, about a third of Casey's pro-choice supporters change their candidate preference.

[mvd]

20. As a proud leftie, I see..

the need for a big tent sometimes regardless. Making no commitment to Casey in the primary. But, I will campaign for Casey because it's so vital that we get Santorum out and regain control from these neo-thugs.

[Laelth]

24. Welcome to DU.

It's obvious that you're passionate about what you're saying. Of course, many of us are equally passionate in our belief that the way to win is to show strength and unity of purpose and not "run to the middle" to appease conservatives who aren't likely to vote for us anyway. All the people have to do is see the disastrous failures of the conservative agenda, and they'll vote for us IF they believe we'll actually stand up for our values, i.e. show the kind of "strength" you want us to have.

And this is a long-standing debate here, as you may know. Again, welcome. :patriot:

-Laelth

[LynnTheDem]

10. YES!

:)

[Initech]

13. So long, Mr. Man-On-Dog Sex!

Bye!

[Jack Rabbit]

17. Say "good-night," Rick

!!

[mvd]

19. Hooray!

And now Casey can hit Santorum on his phony "transformation" when it comes to lobbyists. :bounce:

[corporatemedia]

22. Not so fast! T-Ricky has yet to use the full power of "Abracadabramoff".

T-Ricky has the Magic of Money!

The money bag that T-Ricky has (and will have) is inexhaustable. No matter how much he pulls from the bag, there will still be more! A money bag that never empties! Magic!

President POS is coming to Allegeheny County (Pittsburgh) March 24th - $1,000/Plate.

Also T-Ricky, will have his legion of the (brain)ead dead. Last year Rove called the zealot hordead in solid red states to rise up and book their Motel 666 rooms in PA. They walk, they talk, but they are really (brain) dead.

THEY ARE READY FOR A CAMPAGIN AGAINST CASEY. (Maybe Pennachio will upset their plans?)

The fight has not yet begun.

The count I have at this points is chickens = 0.

There is still a considerable amount of work to do before we change that score to chickenhawks = 0.


http://santorumcybergate.blogspot.com/

[Laelth]

25. I've got to admit ...

I'm in yellow dog mode on this one. Casey's not my favorite Dem. by a long shot, but a yellow dog would be better than Santorum.

GO CASEY!

:dem:

-Laelth

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

26. prediction: babyface rick gets a fox show with two months of losing

and we still have to deal with him

[gauguin57]

27. Unfortunately, Lynn Swann has closed the gap with Ed Rendell

But not the competency gap. Everyone I know who saw Swann on Stephanopolous sunday sez he demonstrated major ignorance about the way gov't works.

Puh-leeeze, Pennsylvania! Not a dumb ex-jock for governor!