November 24, 2003 E-mail story Print
NEWS ANALYSIS
Medicare Bill's Risky Politics
By Janet Hook, Times Staff Writer
WASHINGTON — Republican leaders are touting their sweeping bill to expand and reshape Medicare as a political coup for their party and a significant domestic policy accomplishment for President Bush, challenging decades of Democratic charges that the GOP is hostile to the interests of seniors. (snip)
(snip) But the legislation, which is expected to go to a vote in the Senate today, also poses political risks for Bush and his Republican allies. Some Republicans see a potential backlash from senior citizens when they discover that the prescription drug benefit is far less than they expect, want or need.
By embracing this major expansion of a Great Society program, Bush also risks alienating his party's conservative base, which is already disheartened by the growth of government spending under Bush and by Republican leaders' failure to muscle conservative judicial nominations through the Senate.
"I worry that Republicans are stepping into a political minefield with this bill," said Steve Moore, head of Club for Growth, a conservative political group. As a result, he said, Republicans could lose seats in Congress in next year's elections.(snip)
(snip) But those cross-pressures underscore the problem facing members of both parties: The politics of the Medicare bill are almost as complicated and unfathomable as the bill itself. Polls have found that senior citizens overwhelmingly support the idea of expanding Medicare to cover prescription drugs, but that the more they learn about the bill before Congress, the less they like it.
That raises unnerving memories of the political imbroglio that followed the 1988 enactment of a bill to provide catastrophic health insurance coverage for seniors. Like this year's Medicare bill, that one was endorsed by AARP, the powerful senior citizens lobby then known as the American Assn. of Retired Persons.
After the bill took effect, many seniors rebelled against the new fees and taxes they had to pay, and Congress was forced to repeal the law. The backlash was dramatized memorably when angry senior citizens in Chicago swarmed the car of Rep. Dan Rostenkowski (D-Ill.), then the chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, to protest the bill he sponsored.
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http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-medpol24nov24,1,2594156.story?coll=la-home-headlines(Free registration required)