Polls: Dems' lead shrinking, but still strong (but TN & Virginia are.....)

[rodeodance]

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2006-11-05-national-poll_x.htm?csp=1

Polls: Dems' lead shrinking, but still strong
Updated 11/6/2006 12:34 AM ET

By Susan Page, USA TODAY

WASHINGTON — Democrats, poised to score gains in the U.S. Senate, are struggling to pull ahead in the final seat they need to win control, USA TODAY/Gallup Polls in six key states find.

POLL RESULTS : State elections | Nationwide elections (Clickable)

Democratic challengers are leading Republican incumbents — in some cases narrowly — in Missouri, Montana and Rhode Island, according to the USA TODAY surveys. Other polls show Democratic challengers ahead in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Even if Democrats sweep those five races, however, they would fall one seat short of the six needed for majority status. Two GOP targets, in Tennessee and Virginia, now lead by 3 percentage points among likely voters.

"It says to me the Senate is still very much in play and could go either way," says Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report.

In a separate nationwide USA TODAY/Gallup Poll, taken Thursday through Sunday, Democrats were favored over Republicans for Congress by 51%-44% among likely voters. That edge of 7 percentage points had narrowed from a 13-point margin two weeks ago.

"Republicans are back in the game; they're engaged," says Andy Kohut of the Pew Research Center, which had similar results in a survey released Sunday.

[depakid]

1. More propaganda

Planted by the GOP and their allies at Gallup and the corporate media.

NOTHING Gallop says can be taken seriously. Their methodology is purposefully skewed- to the point where grad school classes hold them up as examples of how NOT to do research. Quite literally, they get laughed at (at least they have in my stats classes).

[John Q. Citizen]

9. According to the latestest Gallop/Usa today poll, Tester is up by 9%

among likely voters.





Tester 50%, Burns 41% other 3% undecided 6% (likely voters)

http://www.usatoday.com//news/polls/tables/live/2006-11-05-state-polls.htm

Montana

1. If the elections for Senator were being held today, which candidate would you vote for in your state Jon Tester, the Democrat, Conrad Burns, the Republican, or someone else?

Tester (Dem.) Burns (Rep) Other (vol.) Not voting No opinion

Likely Voters

2006 Nov 1-3 50 41 3 -- 6

2006 Aug 23-27 48 45 2 -- 5

Registered Voters

2006 Nov 1-3 46 40 5 4 6

2006 Aug 23-27 42 44 3 6 5

[fooj]

2. Blah. Blah. Blah.

Karl's passing out the paychecks as we speak.

[CGrantt57]

3. Well, you can't steal the vote...

unless the polls are close enough to allow it.

[drdtroit]

11. EXACTLY!

Now we know which states need to be focused on for vote fraud (notice I didn't say "voter" fraud).

:patriot:

[Bucky]

4. I'm not surprised they closed the gap this late. They're very unmotivated.

But they're still conservative and the Democrats did not turn this into an anticorruption campaign like they should have. We played a soft hand and we'll win a soft majority because of it--and probably only in one house. If we can't take Missouri, it'll be a 51-49 Senate and Bush will call it a mandate to use his political capital.

[LostinVA]

5. What polls are saying Allen leads by three?

I haven't see one that says that.

[Moloch]

6. electoral-vote.com

has it as a tie.


The TN one looks like an outlier, because all the others have Ford way down. I Hope we can win in VA and TN.

[Tippy]

7. Depends on Shelby County and if they somehow secured

those dam diebold machines.....

[Moloch]

8. Who knows.. hopefully they did but..

New SurveyUSA shows Webb up 8 (52%)

http://www.wdbj7.com/Global/story.asp?S=5639356

We can win if we GOTV properly.

[modrepub]

10. Rain!!

Looks like much of the east will get rain tomorrow. Most of the competitive seats are in the east. Hope this doesn't curtail turnout! Get your umbrellas out Dems and get ready to stand in line....