NBC Poll: Kerry 49, Bush 41

[quaoar]

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5388317/

Presumptive Democratic nominee John Kerry's selection of Sen. John Edwards, D-N.C., to be his running mate already seems to be paying immediate, although perhaps temporary, dividends for his campaign, a new NBC poll finds. Still, nearly two-thirds of respondents say that the Edwards pick will ultimately not make a difference when they vote in November.

According to the poll, which was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, a Kerry-Edwards ticket gets support from 49 percent of registered voters, while President Bush and Vice President Cheney get 41 percent, and independent Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo get 4 percent. In a two-way race, Kerry-Edwards leads Bush-Cheney, 54 percent to 43 percent.

These results represent a boost for Kerry's campaign, compared with polls from a week ago showing that the race was essentially tied. "Subject to confirmation in surveys with longer field periods, the numbers suggest at least a short-term bounce for the Democratic ticket," said Evans Witt, who conducted this poll, which was done on July 6 and based on interviews with 504 registered voters. The survey's margin of error is plus or minus 5 percentage points.

[redwitch]

1. The John-John Ticket rules!

Hot damn, come on November!

[loathesomeshrub]

2. Yeah because people were planning to vote Democratic anyway!

That's how I would have answered the poll.

[mom cat]

3. You just made my day! Thanks!

:party: :thumbsup:

[NewYorkerfromMass]

4. So AP poll is an outliar

:)

[DerBeppo]

8. this has a +/- 5% error

this may be the outlier since all the other polls are much closer.

[Chicago Democrat]

11. How could an organization like AP have become so corrupt?

Which one does Rev Moon own? I thought it was the other one.

[llmart]

5. This is why I ignored the AP poll numbers.

The AP is not to be believed. They want to influence voters instead of reporting the truth.

[freeforall]

14. LOL! Are these the "terra-ists" that are trying to affect the election?

I tell you, this administration and all their supporters are getting crazier by the minute.

[AlFrankenFan]

6. Now this is a poll I can trust!

With those numbers we're going take back the White House faster than Cheney can tell us to go fuck ourselves!

[quaoar]

7. However...

The margin of error in the NBC poll was 5 percent, which is rather high. Plus, the poll was taken on Tuesday, when -- according to Zogby's poll -- there was a surge because of the Edwards announcement.

The CBS pol shows 49-44 for Kerry, but it also has a 5 percent margin of error. Both polls had small samplings. Let's see how a larger poll turns out.

[Gyre]

9. A bit of perspective

Much as I'd love to believe this shows a trend, this poll is substantially less accurate than others speaking to the same issues on it's face. It's got a data-set of 504 registered voters and has a MOE of 5.0%. Any credible poll of this issue will have a data-set of >1000 w/ a MOE of 3% or less.

Still waiting for a credible poll to see what effect Edwards has had.

Gyre

[Rose Siding]

10. "...although perhaps temporary"

Thanks for the warning NBC, you tool.

[wackywill]

12. although perhaps temporary

u bet, Kerry/Edwards should finish at least 25 points ahead in Nov. Anything less and I'll be very disappointed in America. Well actually I guess I couldn't be any more disappointed than I am now anyway.

[Manix]

13. I'm sure Faux News will soon be out with shrub in the lead.