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Lack of good faith on the part of all sides in the Côte d'Ivoire peace process is jeopardising the October 2005 elections and could cause the war to spread to neighbouring countries.
Côte d'Ivoire: No Peace in Sight, the latest report from the International Crisis Group, examines the political stand-off most notably between President Gbagbo and his FPI party on the one hand and the rebel Forces Nouvelles on the other, as well as the economic incentives that make war lucrative for almost everyone except ordinary citizens. If there is to be any chance of peace, the international community, and especially the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), needs to take on the spoilers more assertively and openly, and end impunity for the perpetrators of continued violence.
"No political actor has shown the will to break the impasse", says Mike McGovern, West Africa Project Director for ICG. "Diplomacy built upon the assumption that the parties aim to negotiate in good faith is doomed to failure".
The key issues addressed in the January 2003 Linas-Marcoussis Accords -- nationality, eligibility for elections, and disarmament -- are as pressing as ever, yet all are deadlocked. Opposition parties have left the Government of National Reconciliation. The Forces Nouvelles not only refuse to disarm until after elections, but are flirting with secession.
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