Kerry Overtakes Bush in Swing States, Nationwide

[swag]

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=aZ2_UktEX_yI&refer=top_world_news

July 22 (Bloomberg) -- Democratic challenger John Kerry this month overtook U.S. President George W. Bush among voters in swing states and nationwide, according to a poll conducted by the Washington-based Pew Research Center.

The four-term senator from Massachusetts leads Bush 47 percent to 41 percent in states where the November election is expected to be closest, the Pew organization said on its Web site without specifying the states. That compares with an 11 percentage-point lead that Bush, 58, held last month.

Nationwide, 46 percent of the 1,568 registered voters questioned by Pew said they would vote for Kerry if the election were held today, compared with 44 percent who said they would pick Bush. The president last month led by 4 points. Kerry's lead falls within the poll's 3 percentage-point margin of error.

Democrats will formally nominate Kerry at their convention next week in Boston. Pew began polling July 8, two days after Kerry announced his choice of North Carolina Senator John Edwards as his vice president. That decision that boosted the Democrats' chance of winning the elections, according to some political analysts.

. . .

[maddezmom]

1. keep it up!!!!

[Bowline]

10. Don't get too excited just yet.

In 1988 Dukakis was 17 points ahead of Bush I at this point in the race but he blew that one.

[maddezmom]

15. you're right...too many other things to follow

Report Alleges Halliburton Overcharges
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=512&ncid=1278&e=10&u=/ap/20040721/ap_on_go_co/halliburton



House panel to consider complaint against DeLay
http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/news/nation/9214348.htm?ERIGHTS=4971899761356096519dfw::[e-mail]&KRD_RM=2nkmoijqolrqiiiiiiiiikmmrl|

'Fahrenheit 9/11' Making GOP Nervous
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=548&ncid=696&e=1&u=/ap/20040722/ap_on_el_ge/moore_film_politics

:)

[THUNDER HANDS]

24. however

neither was an incumbant.

[Frances]

28. I think the Willie Horton ad

lost the election for Dukakis. Plus Dukakis was "Gored" by the Repubs and the media.

Now the Repubs are trying to do the same thing to Kerry with the leak to Steno Sue at the Post about Berger.

[Zorra]

44. Yeah, let's work even harder now, until we create an unstoppable

united Democratic tidal wave sweeping republicans from office.

They made their beds with their dirty deeds. And those filthy beds will be moving out of Washington in January.

They stole our democracy. Without that, we have nothing.

The most dangerous enemy you can make is one that has nothing left to lose.

[Lefta Dissenter]

2. Wait, that can't be true,

didn't Matt Lauer just say this morning that "despite the millions and millions of dollars that Kerry has spent on advertising, his campaign just hasn't been able to take off" (paraphrasing) and, of course, Little Timmy Russert, to whom Matt was speaking, said nothing to correct that statement.

So I'm sure the polls you refer to must be wrong! :eyes:

edited to add that yes, I did check to make sure I wasn't watching Faux!

[calico1]

7. Of course he doesn't mention the fact

that despite being an INCUMBENT President and despite millions more than Kerry spent in ads almost all of which are Kerry bashing and despite having many of his cronies bash Kerry on the airwaves, Bush can't pass Kerry in the polls and at the very best is even. Ahhh, but we wouldn't want to mention that little detail would we? :mad:

[blm]

23. The pundits won't state that Kerry has been ahead for months, so

there was little to gain. HOWEVER, the current polls are all LIKELY voters which eliminates all the new voters who registered to vote against Bush.

They know it. They just want to keep up the illusion that it will be close, so Bush can get away with whatever tricks they have planned to steal the vote.

The actual stats are probably closer to 53%-44%.

[iconoclastic cat]

11. Could we possibly start harrassing Matt Lauer?

He's such a tool.

[Lefta Dissenter]

13. I hadn't watched the Today Show

in so long, and now I remember why. I'm renaming their morning show, Faux & Fluff, since if they aren't pushing the repug's agenda, they're putting on ice skating performances and weddings.

Back to C-SPAN (I should have known better...)

[SammyWinstonJack]

19. Him and Katie "meanwhile" Couric

Overpaid and self serving. :argh:

[Logansquare]

46. Or "I think Navy Seals rock!" Couric

almost as embarrassing as Hannah "How Much DEET" Storm

[skippysmom]

29. I'm all for that

Lauer and Couric's biased interviewing really turns my stomach. They've been especially bad since Moore blasted them.

[Kira]

16. I was JUST going to write that

He is unbelievable. Call me naive but I just don't understand how as a "journalist" you can live with yourself lying day in and day out.

[merh]

36. I think anyone who is interviewed by Lauer or any of these

tv talking heads on ABC, NBC, MSNBC, CNN, faux, et al, should ask the person conducting the interview "Do you own Haliburton stock?" and then just sit there. That sure will make them stumble, if but for a few seconds (which for them is forever). Wish we could find out which one of these nasty idiots own an interest in the corps that are growing richer at our expense. We need to investigate the journalist and give them a taste of their own medicine. Only we will use the facts and not the WH slime and lies.

[Digit]

45. I saw that this morning, too

Matt used to be okay, but he is so biased these days.
He is not even a decent interviewer.

[Connie_Corleone]

3. Good News!

:bounce:

[RDANGELO]

4. The latest Marist poll

concurs.

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/usapolls/PZ040719.htm

[sandnsea]

31. Interesting numbers in here

Bush - Kerry


No college - 42 - 46
College - 48 - 43
Money worries - 26 - 59
No worries 68 - 26
Union 32 - 57
VETS 45 - 45
Internet 47 - 44
Talk election 40 - 54
Don't talk 44 - 40

And Kerry is ahead in every geographic location except rural voters and it just doesn't seem likely to me that there's enough rural voters to swing this for Bush.

[Catfight]

5. Always bad when Kerry's ahead, Rove will bring out his arsenal of

lies, distortions and distractions. And the blind little Amerikans will believe it. For instance, just this morning, one of my co-workers is running around going, "did you hear they found WMD's?" PLEASE! I said, "did you hear the 9/11 report is coming out, and Osma will probably show up too today?" I'm am surrounded by dumbass Republicians!

[apnu]

20. Remember... Kerry does best when down and attacked.

His entire political carrer has been wrought with smear campaigns and distortions against him. You'll really smell the desperation when the Hanoi Jane B.S. comes back in the media.

[osaMABUSh]

47. On Howard Stern this AM with M. Moore: WMDs reported

Michael Moore was on Howard Stern this AM and some idiot caller was debunking F 9/11 because he heard yesterday the WMDs were found. His source? Rush Limbaugh. LOL.

BTW, Howard and Mike had a nice chat about F 9/11 set to break $100 mm this weekend.

[fsbooks]

6. Kerry: 332 Bush: 195

See this site, updated daily.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[Gin]

9. which states have e- voting? I don't trust the thugs...

g

[mom cat]

25. Thanks for the info. Looking good.

:dem:

[readmylips]

8. Thank You God....Jesus, Allah, Mother Nature...

It is 6:22, AZ time. This is the first DU posting I read. I can't put my joy into words..I don't know if to laugh, run around the house screaming or cry. God, My Liberal Jesus...My country has Hope again. Thank you....thank you...thank you. My country, USA, of the people, by the people, for the people....Amen

[Tansy_Gold]

12. And the last one I read before heading off to work. .. . .

(at a crummy temp job in boosh's economy.)

Good news, but it'll be better when this kind of news greets us on the morning of Nov. 3rd.


have a great day, DUers!

[TahitiNut]

14. Electoral Votes: Kerry 271, MoE 83, Bush 184

From http://www.electoral-vote.com/ I figure there're eight states where the polls are within the Margin of Error (MoE) of 3% ...
Michigan
Minnesota
Maine
Ohio
Arizona
Tennessee
Arkansas
Nevada

[Alpharetta]

17. Repubs are going to have to show those towers falling a lot this October

Lots of sad music, shocked faces, and the towers falling.

9/11. Don't forget 9/11. <--- their campaign theme

[Ripley]

18. I heard a snip of NPR this morning..Juan asking some Repuke.

about how badly things were in Iraq and Smirky's numbers below 50.

Repuke says..."We are thrilled that Bush is neck and neck with Kerry after all the liberal pounding he has had to endure this summer."

I laughed out loud. I guess one movie by Moore is "pounding" compared to 24 hours a day radio pounding by Hate Radio and Millions of dollars in attack ads by Stupidhead.

Desperate as all hell. Love it!

[Fed Up]

21. When Kerry wins, Matt Lauer will say "Alabamans voted against Kerry".

God I can't stand Lauer. Why does the rw always say the Today Show is liberal?

[President Jesus]

22. Barring theft, there is NO WAY Kerry can lose

It's very simple. I challenge all to find ONE person who voted for Gore who will vote for Bush in 2004.

Now, find Bush 2000 voters who will vote for Kerry. At least 2 in 10 are not voting for Bush, and I'll bet this number goes up to 3 in 10 after the convention.

This is going to be an epic landslide.

[SideshowScott]

26. Well lets not start giving each other Swedish massages just yet...

Even though i find the news to be fantastic there is still 3 months for Bush/Rove/Cheny/GOP slime to pull out every dirty trick in the book to win. They will pull some kind of October surprise, try to get people not to vote, bar people from voting, and god knows what else from those dirty tricksters. We must be on our guard and and kick butt and give back whatever they throw at us..and NOT be relaxed till that fraud and his buddies are out of the white house!
But still I do share your joy and agree with you %100 newsmeat!

[bobbieinok]

40. RW media 24/7!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[CarlWoodward]

27. Great news but ...

I fear that this election is going to be won by a razor-thin margin, and the Chimp will pull every dirty trick in the book. We can't afford to rest for even a moment - always assume that Kerry is the underdog and we must work twice as hard as our opponents to win! Keep giving money, get your friends and colleages who may support Kerry to register to vote, put up yard signs and bumper stickers and talk up Kerry & Edwards wherever you can!

[bobbieinok]

41. if race is said to be close, much easier to steal w/out nasty questions

[Dover]

30. Wonder how the electoral votes are shaping up?

..

[fsbooks]

33. Kerry 332 Bush 195

Daily updates at Electoral Vote Predictor

[Wednesdays]

32. It's the F911 factor...

It has to be. I'm looking at the electoral map compared to the weekend the movie opened, and there's a huge difference. Why? The Shrub is his same stupid self--he hasn't had any gaffes that much worse than usual the last 4 weeks.

So I attribute the turnaround to the movie. I hope it plays forever!

[osaMABUSh]

48. Moore on Stern this AM: F 9/11 will be in theaters up to Nov. 2

That's good and bad. Good that'll it'll still be shown but after four months you'd think the box office run should be over and many folks are waiting for the DVD/video anyway.

I say get this thing on video/rental in September.

Honestly, I think, though, MM is sandbagging he's saying that it won't go video untill after the election to draw people into the theater then when the market is right they'll actually go video well before the election.

[kwolf68]

34. I thought Bush was out there

Campaigning in the Swing States while Kerry was taking it easy getting ready for the convention.

So Bush goes to swing states and Kerry takes lead? LMAO...I guess the mere aroma' of Shrub is enough to get people pissed off again.

As long as Kerry doesn't screw up this election we may be partying on 11.2

[Tight_rope]

35. This is wonderful news. Keep up the good work Kerry/Edwards!

[BlueScreen]

37. Another great web site for keeping track of swing state polls...

...is www.swingstateproject.com

It's on my "must-see" list of websites each day.

Cheers,
Sagar

[Career Prole]

38. "The Republicans led on morality, homosexuality and terrorism,

according to the center."

To a repuke, all three of those incredibly are religious matters, hence bush*'s lead in those.

[yardwork]

39. Yes, we're seeing shrub's true base come into focus.

The fundamentalists who believe that God wrote the Bible in English a couple hundred years ago for the Pilgrims to carry to America and found a Christian nation where their version of morality is law and dissenters are burned at the stake.

[Career Prole]

42. Thousands of scholars for thousands of years have bickered

over the exact meaning of much of the bible. To hand it to a bunch of people who have trouble grasping even what a newspaper says and tell them to live their lives by it is a recipe for disaster. :eyes:

[w4rma]

43. They put Bush's, 58, age in there to confuse readers, imho. (nt)

[osaMABUSh]

51. I agree. Made it look like he had 58% last month

[opihimoimoi]

49. The White House Crew getting reamed over these Numbers

The Pub Pit Bosses jobs are on the line ...these numbers give them Caniptions of the nth degree.

Heads are gonna roll.....

Desperation time, the Pub Crew will try weird things.....

[truthisfreedom]

50. like powder at the Kerry building.

it only happens to Dems.

[struggle4progress]

52. kick

:kick: