Kerry Slightly Ahead of Bush in Time Magazine Poll (46-43% , 34 electoral

[papau]

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=a...

Kerry Slightly Ahead of Bush in Time Magazine Poll (Update1)
July 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Senator John Kerry, who next week will be formally nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate, is 3 points ahead of President George W. Bush in a nationwide poll by Time magazine.

The Massachusetts senator leads Bush 46 percent to 43 percent, with independent candidate Ralph Nader polling 5 percent, according to the telephone survey of 1,000 registered voters conducted July 20-22.

Kerry's lead is within the poll's 4 percentage-point margin of error and similar to a 47 percent to 45 percent lead he had at the beginning of the month. Kerry will arrive this week in Boston for the Democratic National Convention, where on Thursday he will formally accept the party's nomination.

The president's overall approval rating in the poll was 50 percent. In a separate question, 53 percent of respondents said it's ``time for someone else to be president.'' Only 29 percent of voters said they knew a ``great deal'' about Kerry. <snip>

A review of state-by-state polls and historical voting data by Bloomberg News shows Bush ahead in 19 states, including Texas and Alabama, with 155 electoral votes. Kerry leads in 12 states, including New York and Pennsylvania, with 189 electoral votes. <snip>

[David Dunham]

1. How come Bush has a 50% approval rating in this poll?

[mom cat]

2. Ahhhh. Now that's more like it.

[Wickerman]

3. Only 29 percent of voters said they knew a ``great deal'' about Kerry.

Maybe the other 79% should pull their heads out of their asses and give him a solid look - then do a factual look at Bush*. If folks, in large numbers, would take the initiative and would do so I believe we would see Bush* replaced on the ticket - the man is completely devoid of substance and there is nothing positive, no record of accomplishment in his history.

Of course, one would have search a tad further than the mainstream media to find out anything of value about Bush*. Odd, that. And, to find out anything of substance about Kerry one would have to dig a bit, too. :eyes:

[Fed Up]

4. somebody notify Ron Fournier of AP. His hit piece says Bush leading. n/t

[TomNickell]

5. Bush at 43% is the good news.

Standard polster doctrine is 'Incumbents get what they poll'. In other words, if a voter is still undecided on Bush after 4 years, he's probably going to go to Kerry. And Nader ain't going to get no 5%.

Prediction: Kerry 54% Bush 46%. Landslide in the electoral college.

[faithnotgreed]

6. that link didnt work for me.. whats the % without nader? in may

(without nader) the time/cnn poll was 51 kerry and 46 *
that was from may 12-14

[DieboldMustDie]

7. That link took me to an essentially blank page...

but on the same site I found:

"Kerry, a four-term U.S. senator from Massachusetts, leads 47 percent to 41 percent in 18 states where the presidential vote is expected to be closest, the Washington-based Pew Research Center found in a July 8-18 survey. A month ago Bush had an 11 point lead, according to Pew. A Fox News poll July 20-21 showed Kerry trailing 41 percent to 42 percent in 15 `battlegrounds' states."
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"`If you look at swing voters and independents they tend to be more critical of Bush,' said Thomas Mann, a political analyst with the Brookings Institution, a policy research organization in Washington. `So the undecided voters are ready to vote no on the referendum of whether Bush has done a good job.'

"In the Pew poll, self-described independents favored Kerry over Bush 44 percent to 32 percent with 10 percent undecided. The Fox poll, conducted by Cambridge, Massachusetts-based Opinion Dynamics Corp., found that 39 percent of the independents would vote for Kerry and 38 percent would vote for Bush. Seventeen percent of independents in the Fox survey said they were not sure or would choose someone else."
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http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000176&sid=aYWklXlXyAmM&refer=us_elections

[papau]

8. Link below seems to work for me

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=axe.YOsf8fjc&refer=us

(quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=axe.YOsf8fjc&refer=us)

But I like your "update 2" - since I was still at "update 1"

(quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000176&sid=aYWklXlXyAmM&refer=us_elections)

:-)

[Demeter]

9. How Amusing! AOL Poll Says Bush Ahead Electorally

just this evening (Saturday) Of course, AOL isn't what I consider fair and balanced, either.