http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=574&e=1&u=/nm/venezuela_poll_dcCARACAS, Venezuela (Reuters) - Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez will likely win an August recall referendum, according to a poll released on Tuesday that found a majority of registered voters believe he is doing a good job.
The survey, commissioned by a unit of Venezuela's state oil firm PDVSA, found 49 percent of registered voters against recalling the left-wing former army officer and 41 percent of voters in favor of him leaving office.
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Most polls have projected Chavez would lose the referendum, but more recent surveys have revealed a tight race as the populist leader spends heavily on health and education programs that have bolstered his support among the poor.
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Chavez has enjoyed a windfall from high oil prices and has pumped millions of dollars into social programs. But opposition leaders, who have struggled to preserve their unity, are confident they can muster the votes they need to oust him.