http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=aSJw1QjZJqj0&refer=news_indexWall Street Economists See Fed Rate at 2% or Higher (Update1)
July 29 (Bloomberg) -- A growing number of Wall Street's biggest bond trading firms say the Federal Reserve by year-end will boost its target overnight lending rate between banks to at least 2 percent, the highest level since 2001. <snip>
Higher rates can lead to increased borrowing costs on everything from credit cards to mortgages. Already, the average fixed rate on a 30-year home loan is 5.98 percent, up from 5.38 percent in March, according to Freddie Mac. The difference is an extra $26,900 in interest costs over the life of the loan. <snip>
Thomas Hoenig, president of the Fed's Kansas City branch, said in a Monday speech to business leaders in Denver that most economists estimate the neutral rate, one that neither stimulates nor restrains economic growth, is between 3 percent and 4.5 percent. Hoenig votes on monetary policy this year. <snip>
A Labor Department report July 16 showed consumer prices rose 3.3 percent in June from a year earlier, the biggest 12- month increase since May 2001. For the month, they rose 0.3 percent, compared with 0.6 percent in May. <snip>
Forecasts for year-end 2005 range from 2 percent at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein Securities LLC to between 4.5 percent and 5 percent at BNP Paribas. <snip>