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Bush, Kerry Even In U.S. Presidential Race (43-43 MOE 3%)

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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 10:57 PM
Original message
Bush, Kerry Even In U.S. Presidential Race (43-43 MOE 3%)
(CPOD) Aug. 25, 2004 – The top presidential candidates in the United States are tied, according to a poll by Investor’s Business Daily. 43 per cent of respondents would vote for Republican incumbent George W. Bush in the 2004 election, while 43 per cent would support Democratic nominee John Kerry. Five per cent of respondents would back independent candidate Ralph Nader.
<snip>

Methodology: Interviews to 884 registered American voters, conducted from Aug. 17 to Aug. 23, 2004. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

http://www.cpod.ubc.ca/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=3901
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:01 PM
Response to Original message
1. Bush gets 3 points for his best ammo. Bwaaaaaaaa!
Bring on the debates and let's finish this ugly chapter of American history.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. 43-43 means Kerry will get 52%= 43 + 2/3 of other 14%
Once again:

Historically, 2/3 of undecided/other generally break for the challenger (60-80%).

http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:01 PM
Response to Original message
2. I'm not going to make it to November
There ougtta be a law: Polls are only allowed twice a month.

IBD polls tend to lean Republican, yet LA Times polls (B 49%/K 46%) lean Democratic. This is all going to really drive me crazy.

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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:43 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Every poll says the same thing: work hard until election day. eom
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Ninchik Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:04 PM
Response to Original message
3. Were they asked how they voted last time?
New votes for Bush or old?
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:17 PM
Response to Original message
4. Whoa, Wo!!! 5 PERCENT for Nader
No no, take off half of that and give it to Kerry. Nader ain't winning 5% of anything, except in Alaska maybe.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:47 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. No, This is Interesting
We've seen consitantly high votes for Nader in the polls that can
be expected to sample Republicans heavily. Could Nader actually
take votes from Booosh? That would be something.
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truthisfreedom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:26 PM
Response to Original message
5. yawn. watching these polls is like watching the weather... just remember,
the sun will be out on election day. 8^)
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Dover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-25-04 11:58 PM
Response to Original message
8. Myyyyyyyyy Bologa has a first name, it's P.O.L.L.S
my bologna has a second name it's L.I.A.R.S.
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TheWatcher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-26-04 01:55 AM
Response to Original message
10. Does anybody notice that the number of undecideds keeps getting larger
every time, so that they are able to report a tie?

By November the Polls will be running 8%-8% with 84 % undecided.

Then on November 3rd they will report that Bush won 1.5%-1.4% with 98% abstaining because the country is "so divided" that they simply couldn't make a choice.

Welcome to The United States Of Orwellica.
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