Bush and Maliki: Postponing the Inevitable?
Whatever the reason for the delay of the start of the Bush-Maliki summit, the signs are that the President and Iraq's prime minister are on a collision course
By TONY KARON
Posted Wednesday, Nov. 29, 2006
The postponement of the first session of a high-stakes summit between President Bush and Iraq's Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki Wednesday night in Jordan may indeed be, as officials on both sides took pains to stress, simply a matter of logistics. But reports on the outlook that each man was going to bring to the table suggests that the two may be on a collision course.
The meeting was touted as a crisis summit designed to set a new course for tackling Iraq's mounting violence, civil war or whatever one chooses to call it; the salient point is that Iraq has spun so dangerously out of control that existing policies appear to offer no way out of the mayhem. The already slim prospects for a harmonious discussion between the Iraqi leader and an increasingly impatient U.S. administration may have been further clouded by the publication, in the New York Times, of a memo from National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley that questions Maliki's commitment and capability to take the steps the U.S. deems necessary to turn things around. The document sets out a U.S. prescription for Maliki's government that may be no more realistic than the optimistic projections with which the Administration went into the war. Support for Maliki, the document suggests, should be based on his willingness to remake himself politically along lines preferred by the Administration, specifically by jettisoning much of his Shi'ite support base and governing instead at the head of a new coalition with strong Sunni and secular representation — all of which the U.S. would help orchestrate.
The idea of detaching Maliki from his own political base already seemed more than a little implausible. And as he left Baghdad for the meeting, Maliki's key coalition partner, the parliamentary bloc headed by the radical Shi'ite cleric Moqtada Sadr, announced that it would suspend participation in the government, potentially leaving the Prime Minister's parliamentary majority in doubt. Last weekend, Sadr had warned that he would withdraw support for Maliki if the Prime Minister took the meeting with Bush in Jordan. But while Sadr appears to have told Maliki to choose him or choose the U.S., the Hadley document appeared to make the same case in reverse — Maliki would have to ditch Moqtada and, potentially, much of the Shi'ite political leadership, or lose the support of the U.S.
How Maliki plans to navigate the mutually-exclusive demands of the Sadrist political bloc that keeps him in power and the U.S. whose military keeps him alive remains to be seen. But the odds are stacked against the Iraqi Prime Minister following the script outlined in the Hadley memo, and there are already indications that he isn't about to cave into Washington's demands. Indeed, it was reported Wednesday that Maliki would make his own demands of President Bush at the meeting, most notably pressing for the U.S. to transfer command of the Iraqi security forces into the hands of the Iraqi government, and also for discussions with Iran and Syria over the situation in Iraq to be handled by the Iraqi government....
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1564304,00.html?cnn=yes
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