Did Latino Voters Decide Florida?

[ihavenobias]

According to exit polls, John McCain won in several different demographic groups in the Florida primary, including seniors, moderates and Hispanics. Of these, the Hispanic category had the biggest disparity by far.

McCain won the Cuban vote 50-10 over Romney. And the non-Cuban Hispanic vote by 51-21. Those are gigantic differences, and can easily swing a close election like Florida. Since only 10% of the Republican voters were Latino, I'm not sure that Latinos were the decisive factor on Tuesday (but only because I have no idea how to do the math on that). But it's obvious that McCain's surge with Hispanic voters helped him substantially in winning Florida.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton cruised to a meaningless victory (the Florida delegates don't count this year) also on the strength of large Hispanic support. This was also true in the Nevada caucus (which did count). She won the Latino vote by a 3 to 1 margin there -- and then won a narrow victory over Obama overall...

For the rest, click here:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/cenk-uygur/did-latino-voters-decide-_b_83977.html

[CherylK]

1. I think and hope he's right

That no matter who the republican nominee is, he has little chance of winning.

[ihavenobias]

3. That HAS To Be Right

It would take a royal screw-up by the Dems to lose. Sure it's possible, but I don't see Hillary or Obama making that kind of mistake.

[marlonjose]

2. This isn't good news for Obama and Clinton

They need a strong Hispanic backing in '08.

[ihavenobias]

4. The real question is

who will Richardson endorse?

[SteppingRazor]

5. National Hispanic vote and Floridian Hispanic vote are two very different things.

The Floridian Hispanic vote is colored by the Cuban immigrant community, which is notoriously and rabidly far-right.

[ihavenobias]

6. I'm glad you brought that up

since Cenk had a guest on during the SC primary coverage and they talked about how the group of people that collectively makes up "Latinos" is very diverse.

But at the same time, the overall national numbers are clear, there is an *overwhelming* trend that shows the (however you want to define "they") are behind Hillary at this point