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Pollsters: Kerry aside, Bush is in trouble

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dArKeR Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-12-04 06:16 PM
Original message
Pollsters: Kerry aside, Bush is in trouble
Approval rating keeps falling

WASHINGTON - Voters may not yet be ready to flock to challenger John Kerry, but President Bush’s continuing decline in opinion surveys — including one released Wednesday — is a clear warning sign for an incumbent trying to persuade the public to rehire him for four more years, pollsters say.

A new Pew Research Center poll Wednesday showed Bush’s approval rating at 44 percent, down from 48 percent a month ago and 58 percent in January. While the poll gives Kerry a 50-45 lead over Bush in a two-way race with a 2.5-point margin of error, his lead narrows to 46-43 when Ralph Nader is included.

But writing in an op-ed piece in the New York Times on Wednesday, Pew director Andrew Kohut said, “There is no reason to expect a one-to-one relationship between public disaffection with the incumbent and an immediate surge in public support for his challenger.” First, Kohut said, voters will “decide whether the incumbent deserves re-election; only later do they think about whether it is worth taking a chance on the challenger.”

Wednesday’s poll is just one of several recent polls that show Bush’s approval ratings slipping below 50 percent amid growing doubts among voters about his handling of the war in Iraq and of the economy.

http://msnbc.msn.com/id/4962832/

I can't wait to see all those American immoral corporations and immoral Fundimentalist groups loose all their contributions to aWol!
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many a good man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-12-04 06:19 PM
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1. If Bush* tanks and Kerry stays low
in the polls we might see a 3-way race with Nader. All 3 candidates could finish in the 30s.
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-12-04 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. You must be dreaming. Nader will get 1-2%.
You better take a breath, and study elections from 1960.

Wallace got around 13% in 1968, Anderson 7% in 1980, Perot 19% in 1992, Perot 9% in '96, Nader 2.7% in 2000.
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many a good man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-12-04 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Prediction: Bush*s biggest blunder still to come:
allowing Nader in the debates. With Bush* and Kerry approval ratings in the upper 30s, it leaves about 25%. If Kerry stays cautious while the wheels fall of the Bush* wagon, there might be a race...
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belle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-12-04 09:47 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Also, Kerry won't stay this low.
And Bush has even further to fall.
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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-12-04 06:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. I want every dime down the drain. I want bitter CEOs.
Then I want their taxes raised thru the roof. After all, winners are entitled, right, Dick?
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