Six Reasons Barack Obama is Still the Odds-on Favorite in 2012

[davidpdx]

Six Reasons Barack Obama is Still the Odds-on Favorite in 2012

Less than six months after he took office, Barack Obama was labeled a "lame duck" president by a few overeager conservative commentators. Before his first year in the White House was up, some nervous liberals began pronouncing their hero more Jimmy Carter than J.F.K. Now, independents are apparently casting gimlet eyes at the president. In a recent Gallup Poll, Obama was losing by 14 points among these swing voters in a 2012 matchup to something called the "generic Republican."
Get the new
PD toolbar!

"The real bad news for the White House in the poll is the continued souring of independents on Obama," wrote Mark Hemingway in The Examiner. "It would be very hard to win re-election if that trend continues." True enough, but why should it continue? History is instructive, it is never static, and to those who believe President Obama will be easy pickings when he runs for re-election, I'd just say, "Wanna bet?"

So with no disrespect intended toward Mark Hemingway, or even Jimmy Carter, that human punching bag of ex-presidents, here are six reasons why the person who occupies the White House on Jan. 21, 2013 is most likely to be ... the man who occupies it now.

Reason 1: There is no such beast as a "generic Republican." To be sure, there will be a GOP presidential nominee, and that person will have a name, a history, a sex, a voting record, and -- unless the Second Coming takes place between now and the GOP convention in the summer of 2012 -- at least some of the normal human frailties. (No, Mitt Romney, despite never having a hair out of place you are not perfect!) In other words, the next Republican nominee will come before the electorate carrying baggage of his own -- or her own – whether that candidate hails from Wasilla, Alaska, or anywhere else in this big wonderful nation of ours.

The rest:

http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/03/08/hold-for-mon-a-m-six-reasons-why-barack-obama-still-favorite/?icid=main|htmlws-main-n|dl3|link3|http%3A%2F%2Fwww.politicsdaily.com%2F2010%2F03%2F08%2Fhold-for-mon-a-m-six-reasons-why-barack-obama-still-favorite%2F

[Name removed]

1. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[DFLforever]

2. Who knows, he could run unopposed.

The Repukes don't seem to like anyone.
.

[rpannier]

3. I would add he polls very well among Hispanics

Who are still the fastest growing ethnic group in the country.

I've read in places that it's possible that up to 15% of all voters in 2012 will be Hispanics.
If he gets 75% of those voters he has 12% of the vote (Often in large states and states that are considered swing).
He'll get 95% of the African-American vote.
He'll get a good share of the Asian vote.

That would put him at over 1in 5 voters.

[NorthCarolina]

4. I'm really hoping for a Liberal/Progressive anti-DLC/New Dem primary challenger.

I'm more than tired of this same-as-GOP conservative DLC/New Dem leadership. I would really like to see America catch up with the rest of the industrialized world, and it isn't going to happen under DLC or GOP leadership.

[Stuckinthebush]

5. While that would be nice

Such a person could never win. The American populace is just too dumb and malleable to elect a true progressive.

And, yes, I'm feeling very pessimistic right now about the future of this country. When I see the hordes of older Americans screaming down congress members at town hall meetings I have to question the sanity of Americans.

[NorthCarolina]

6. Never say never. There were many who thought a black man could never win either. eom

[Stuckinthebush]

7. Well, that is true

I'm just really down on this country right now. I'll come out of it...

[NorthCarolina]

8. As long as some Think a Progressive can't win, none will.

The DLC for one is beside themselves hoping for just such a public perception to flourish. For me, I will be supporting Liberal Progressive candidates in any way I can, not the least of which is with my VOTE. The peoples power is most effective in the Primaries. Seek out the Liberal/Progressive/Populist candidate and give them your vote.

[pundaint]

9. I am quite finished with "Can't win = Don't try" politics. Who would have thought

that the Constitution could have become so irrelevant until the Republicans and Rabid Right went out and showed us.

Give government by and for the People a chance.

[Daveparts still]

10. The Examiner?

Might as well the Venture Brothers Daily News