Canadians probably care more about the U.S. election than the Canadian one.
While everyone is predicting a close race for the presidency in November, don't bet on it. If the Democrats campaign effectively, Canadians will get their wish. The Dems will win handily.
Ever since their high-mark popularity ratings in the months following 9/11, the Republicans have been on a downward slide. They have created the biggest deficit in U.S. history, they have ensnared their country in a scandalously conducted war, a war most Americans now oppose. They have polarized the nation.
Coming out of his party's convention at month's end in Boston, he is expected to have a 10- to 12-point lead in the polls. For the Republicans to reverse that and have any hope in the autumn against Canada's choice, much has to change. Calm has to come to Iraq, the economy has to bounce higher, Osama bin Laden need be found, the ogre Dick Cheney need be hidden in a forest, the Democrats must run a weak campaign and the egomaniacal Ralph Nader must steal even more votes from them than he did last time round.
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