Observers continue to ask, "Will Iraq descend into
civil war?" The answer is that civil war is already
underway in Iraq. Most people do not see it, because
it is not following the Sunni/Shi'ite/Kurd fault lines
on which we have been lead to focus. As is usually
the case in war, we are the victims not of deception
but of self-deception.
In Iraq's civil war, the most prominent faction is
what America calls Iraq's "government." It is, of
course, not a government, because there is no state.
The "government's" goal is to recreate an Iraqi state
and become a real government. What are its chances
of success?
At the physical level, the "government" is
undoubtedly the most powerful faction in Iraq's civil
war. It has more money and more troops than any
competitor. It also has the U.S. military behind it, as
we have seen recently in Fallujah, where the Iraqi
"government" has approved and even provided
intelligence for American air strikes.
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Not all of King George's bombers nor all of his men
can put Mesopotamia's Humpty together again. Since
Sen. Kerry's policy on Iraq differs from President
Bush's by only the finest of nuances, it is safe to
predict that a future King John would fare no better.
antiWar.com