http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6091874/site/newsweek/<snip>
...What he's good at is reciting refrigerator-magnet phrases with mind-numbing repetitiveness. "Bush's strength is his simplicity," says a Republican strategist, "and he's got volumes of it."
In his zeal to defend the war in Iraq, Bush said on Thursday that the right track/wrong track numbers are better in Iraq than in this country. In other words, the American people are more concerned about the direction of their country than the Iraqis, who are living with a violent insurrection. It was an extraordinary moment and one that the Kerry campaign will exploit in the days ahead, and in Thursday's debate. Prime Minister Ayad Allawi’s visit to Washington was supposed to be a victory tour, but it served only to underscore the misinformation served up by the Bush campaign. Not since the Iraqi information minister lampooned as "Baghdad Bob" insisted Saddam was winning the war—just as U.S. troops were on the verge of taking the Iraqi capital—has there been there been such a disjuncture between rhetoric and reality.
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A race that looked like it was Bush’s to lose just a week ago has once again tightened to within the margin of error. The combination of bad news from Iraq with Kerry finally finding his voice on the war has brought disillusioned Democrats back into the fold. A winning theme for Kerry—if he dares—is to frame the argument around the specter of a military draft. U.S. forces are stretched thin in Iraq and elsewhere. If we were to face another international crisis, where would the troops come from? With polls showing Kerry not doing as well among women as he should, the issue has obvious appeal. “The security moms are also worried about their draft-age sons—and daughters,” says a strategist. Kerry will say he opposes reinstating the draft, but it’s not implausible that one will be needed if we continue on the current course. Bush has repeatedly misled the country on Iraq, the challenger could say. What’s to stop him from doing it again?