New Poll: CNN - Kerry Pulls Ahead; Bush hits 30's on Iraq, Economy

[VolcanoJen]

on edit:Added all poll numbers and margins of error as shown by CNN.

Brand new, as reported on "Inside Politics" by CNN's "I Love Candy" Crowley and Bill Schneider; the Terrorism number, always Bush's strongest suit, has hit the 40's.

Not all the numbers were shown, but Schneider says Kerry has pulled ahead of Bush on the following additional issues: health care, environment, jobs and taxes. (!!!!)

CNN Time Poll (May 12-13)

Likely Voters' Choice for President (sampling error +/- 4.5%)
Kerry: 51%
Bush: 46%

including Nader:

Kerry: 49%
Bush: 44%
Nader: 6%

How Bush is handling...(sampling error +/- 3%)

Terrorism
- Good Job: 46%
- Poor Job: 47%

Iraq
- Good Job: 39%
- Poor Job: 55%

Economy
- Good Job: 39%
- Poor Job: 55%

Who would do a better job on...(sampling error +/- 3%)

Terrorism
- Kerry: 42%
- Bush: 48%

Moral Issues
- Kerry: 39%
- Bush: 46%

Gay Marriage
- Kerry: 39%
- Bush: 39%

[liskddksil]

1. Awesome

That is 2 polls that confirm a five point lead.

[calimary]

43. Unless you watched Neil Fat-face on the Pox network.

Noticed him briefly while I was changing the channel. He had Nancy Skinner on, who was rather good in rebutting his arguments. At one point he said, rather pathetically, "but can't you at least concede that..." Oh PLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEZE tell me something good about bush!!!

Point is: they showed several poll results. Two of the latest ones, AND another poll that showed bush in better shape, purportedly to prove these polls don't mean anything, and the pro-bush poll shows it could just as easily be THAT way as the other way. . Thing is, though, the poll that showed bush with an edge was done MAY 1 - 3. The others were more than a week later, confirming the downward trend. He didn't even have the decency to point out that those were old numbers. Tried to portray all the polls as equal and concurrent.

JACKASS.

[displacedtexan]

2. Foreign policy was Bush*'s ONLY strong area...

I know, people were that freepin' stupid!

[sundancekid]

3. exactly right ... just enough time has passed for sheeple perculation

ALSO, from same poll: (with error rate of +/- 4.5%)

Kerry 51%
Bush 46%

Kerry 49%
Bush 41%
Nader 6%

[NNN0LHI]

8. Nader hurts Bush more than Kerry according to this poll?

Hey freepers. Send Nader some more money you assholes.

Don

[orthogonal]

20. Why Nader?

Nader's the "none of the above" candidate: he's appealing to voters who can no longer support Bush but still see Kerry as a "tax and spend Massachusetts lib'rul".

How many of these "Nader-is-none-of-the-above" voters will actually get to the polls is another question.

[sundancekid]

54. IMO, Nader is just the certified whore you might pick up when ...

... "you don't wanna dance with them what brung you" ...
I agree that freepers are putting their money down a dark hole, the bastards; but possibly some others, somewhere else (dems or indys) might also indulge in Nader, if you get my drift ... but, unlike 2000 where incumbency values for Gore were a little sullied by the Big Dog's johnson, the 2004 election is FIRST and FOREMOST all about incumbency;

sooooooooooooooooo,
If this TREND continues, then we can at least take some real pleasure (if not comfort) out of the fact that dumya is being measured for job performance and being found unfit, and that he too will need to be OUTSOURCED ...
:toast:

[BlueEyedSon]

4. Oh yes! Thanks Jen....

:bounce:

[madmax]

5. It's getting close - I can almost begin singing

patriotic songs. Are we going to get our country back? I hope so.

[FreakinDJ]

12. Yes we are going to get our country back

God works in mystrious ways

I think even the fundies will come around in time

[Dees]

6. He's toast. Buh bye Monkeynuts. Don't let the

door hit you in the ass. Back to Crawdad, Texas and count your millions you BFEE Bastuhd.

[displacedtexan]

7. Candy wants to know why JK isn't doing better???????

15 points down across the board (every issue) 4 months ago, and she has the gall to ask this dumbass question?

People are not sure what the theme of the JK campaign is????????

What a crock!

[Dees]

14. Candy has whored for the Repukes since

day one. I listened to her load just now. Sheeeesh! She asked Terry if Iraq would be fixed by election time. McCauliff said, "not as long as George Bush is in there". Sorry Candy.

[Demoiselle]

39. Candy was WHINING at Schneider and McCauliffe....

"...but, but...shouldn't Kerry be CREAMING him!" was one of her incisive, hard hitting questions.(No Candy.) But...but Kerry isn't actually gaining, is he?" ( Yes, Candy, he is.) "But...but.. LOTS of Democrats say Kerry should be doing better now!" (Name ten, Candy, and I'll give you a cookie.) "...But...but...aren't October polls more telling than polls taken right now?"...etc. etc. Good grief, I half expected her to jam her thumb in her mouth and collapse with a giant WAAAAAAAGH!!!! Woman is a major right wing ho.

[Andromeda]

60. It made me so mad when Crowley

was so dismissive of Kerry's positive poll numbers. If Chimpy was ahead they would have made a big deal about it.

When Bush was a couple of points ahead of Kerry in a Faux News poll they called Kerry "Mr. Unpopularity." I couldn't believe it. Kerry was only two points behind Bush in that poll which didn't mean anything because the polls are always jumping around.

The Repukes are good at the propaganda wars and use every dirty trick in the book to make the Chimp look good.

[pinto]

9. I work at avoiding polls, but when I saw the 30's mentioned had to look...

WaHOOOOOOOOOO.

:kick:

[Supply Side Jesus]

10. WTF are 'Moral Issues'...

fucking CNN boot lickers, what kind of bullshit question is that?! :nuke:

[ibegurpard]

15. moral issues

are making sure that no one unmarried is engaging in sexual activity and those that ARE married are engaging only in the missionary position.

[5thGenDemocrat]

33. Why do Fundies only have sex in the missionary position?

Because if they did it standing up, people might think they were dancing.
John
It is now 35 days, 19 hours and 51 minutes to FUNDAY. Candy "Creepy" Crowley isn't invited, but all of you guys are.

[Arugula Latte]

44. You forgot the exceptions allowed:

-- extreme rightwing preachers may bonk hookers

-- William Bennett may visit his dominatrix in Las Vegas when he's not at the gaming tables

-- Gov. Perry may bed his male lover (shhhhh!)

-- Priests may tell everyone else not to use birth control or engage in premarital sex while they abuse children

[MARALE]

I wondered that too...

How is occupying a country on the basis of lies and killing thousands moral???:shrug:

[mirandaod]

11. Best news I've read all day!

Thanks!
:D

[Love Bug]

45. Welcome to DU MARALE and mirandaod!!

Have a big DU group hug!!

:grouphug:

[ibegurpard]

13. 5 points with or without Nader

Not that I put much stock in polls this early but I find that interesting.

[bigbillhaywood]

21. It only matters how Nader polls in the battleground states anyways, I

suspect that most of his votes will come from solid Kerry country like MA, NY and NJ, so I don't think he's a factor. I doubt he will hurt Kerry in battleground states like happened in 2000.

[bigbillhaywood]

23. I also think its best to err on the negative side of that 4.5% margin of

error for Nader-- he's polling higher than the votes he actually won in 2000. I find it difficult to believe that he has more support now than in 2000.

[KittyWampus]

16. Candy/Woodruff/Blitzer Will Now Don Ashes & Sackcloth

perhaps if they do penance, Bush's numbers will rebound.

[Eurobabe]

30. you forgot the hairshirt

and cat'o ninetails!!

[PCIntern]

17. Candy needs to move her fat behind

and ask why she's got a crush on this guy in the WH and what the perils of unrequited love are.

Imagine what he'd say about her once she left the room.

Meanwhile, CNN reporting that three techniques are removed from the approved interrogation methods.

Let's guess: Spraying sperm all over the enemy might be one.

any other ideas?

[MallRat]

18. WOO-HOO! Just 3-5 more points, and BBV becomes a non-factor.

:eyes:

[pmbryant]

19. What are the horserace numbers for registered voters?

Based on what I've read about polls at Ruy Teixeira's blog (http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/), the 'likely voter' poll results don't mean much this far out, and we should be paying more attention to the polls of 'registered voters'.

I suspect the results of that are similar, and perhaps even better for Kerry, if they are like other recent polls.

:shrug:

--Peter

[VolcanoJen]

25. Peter, in most recent "Registered Voters" polls, Kerry is even further...

... ahead. From what I've seen; here's a good thread:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x1598928

[pmbryant]

35. Thanks

That thread seems to be referring to an earlier poll. But I think you are correct that the RV results have been even better for Kerry than the LV results (at least in the last few weeks).

:hi:

Peter

[opihimoimoi]

27. The People out there know when they got HAD by all the PUB Brain washing

They can really see it by taking a long look around, Hell, a short look will do it too.

Without the Pub Whores in the Media, TV and Print, plus all the Fundie guys, this Bush is beyond Toast, more like ashes. Just spent $80 Mil only to watch in horror as his numbers went South. He will follow as he really deep in his heart wants to. Tired Bruised, and only delusion keeps him from being Ashamed of what he and his buddies caused.

They thought they could get away with this coup and now the Truth comes out, Americas Ship, once Proud and Mighty, is aground on the Reef of Shame. They are Toast, the sooner the better.

[VolcanoJen]

29. That's right. Rove/Bush/Cheney have blown $80 MILLION.

That's the most encouraging news, when you really think about it. $80 Million blanketing the battleground states with negative ads and Canadian Bus Tours, and they end up dropping further in the polls.

World events are conspiring against Bush. Kerry's recent ads have hurt Bush too, in my opinion. They're positive, they do an excellent job of introducing the candidate to the voters, and it would appear that Americans are really just beginning to view Kerry as the leader the country needs, now.

[opihimoimoi]

32. Bush does with Americas money as he does with his Ad Campaigns

Money POORLY spent.

All that money spent goes down a hole with the supposed protecting of America.... yeah, right. We coulda done a way better job if Gore/and now Kerry, was at the Helm.

Bush cannot be trusted anymore. The People are waking up to this.

[phillybri]

22. Kick

:kick:

[DancingBear]

24. Hey Jen

As soon as I clicked on this thread, it stopped raining and the sun came out!

Feel the Karma...

[VolcanoJen]

26. Everyone needs a little good news from time to time, eh?

Is America waking up...? :bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

[NNN0LHI]

28. There goes the "popular war time president" mantra down the shitter n/t

[Beetwasher]

31. SWEEEEEEEET!

n/t

[peekaloo]

34. terra terra terra terra terra terra terra terra terra terra terra terra

because I like to kick a man when he's down! }(

[Walt Starr]

36. Still not a big enough margin

It's still close enough the thugs will steal it again.

:(

We need to lead by ten points. If bunnypants keeps going the way he has been, we should lead in the polls by at least 20 points so we can squeak out a bare majority in the election.

[DU GrovelBot]

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[mzmolly]

38. Very Encouraging! GO KERRY!!!

Oh please, oh please, oh please, oh please... let there be a President Kerry!

[Thrill]

40. This is a good position to be in

when you haven't even named your VP yet

[Ishoutandscream]

41. Look out! The October surprise may come much earlier

OBL may be coming out of his hole soon.

[MoonRiver]

42. OMG, this is so awesome!!

One of the most conservative polls having Kerry 5 points ahead, whether Nader is in or not! This is the latest in a growing trend upward for Kerry!!!

:kick:

[Killarney]

46. What a way to start out the weekend!

I can't wait to see the next Zogby, that should be even better.

[MoonRiver]

52. I just complete a Zogby survey.

Should be seeing the results soon! :kick:

[robbedvoter]

47. The trip to LR worked! ;-)

The best is yet to come!

[Snellius]

48. Can't wait to see Wolf's face when he reads this

and WEEPS. Repub scum sucker.

[andino]

49. I liked this little part

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/05/14/bush.kerry/index.html">http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/05/14/bush.kerry/index.html


Quote:

The poll also indicated that Bush's troubles may hurt the GOP in other races. On the generic ballot for congressional races, Democrats have a 13 point lead among likely voters.

<snip>

:)

[MoonRiver]

53. YEAH!!

House, Senate, and White House! Gimme the whole enchilada, baby!

:kick::kick::kick::kick::kick:

[Kukesa]

50. Hooray! and Kick!

n/t

[mitchum]

51. Kicking this beautiful news

[Serenity-NOW]

55. Who would do a better job on Gay Marriage? Job?

Does that mean an even split between ammending the constitution and not ammending the constitution to limit the rights of a portion of the population? Hunh. When's the last time the constitution was ammended to curtail anybody's rights anyway?

[VolcanoJen]

56. "Trust" number down to 39%; isn't that a pretty big deal??

From the complete link; also look at the "doubts and reservations about Bush's ability to lead" number. Weren't "trust and leadership" his biggest issues a handful of months ago??

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/05/14/bush.kerry/index.html

Those with "doubts and reservations" about Bush's ability to lead the country rose from 55 percent to 59 percent while those who believe the president can be trusted as a leader dropped from 44 percent to 39 percent, since early February.

[Serenity-NOW]

57. Hey I trust him, far as I could throw him

Oh how I wish I'd get the chance to try to throw him sometime... I can always dream.

### NOTE TO SECRET SERVICE ###
This is not a threat against the potato head potus this is a figure of speech.

Now pretzels, that's a threat.

[Piperay]

58. Moral Issues???

:wtf: Yeah, real moral allowing pornographic acts out of Iraqi prisons. :argh: :mad:

[pfitz59]

59. Bush* and ethics don't mix!

Only a moran would think Shrub has good moral character.

[robbedvoter]

61. "There will be no sex in the White House" - that's why we have Iraq!