Great polls (PA)Kerry 48-43 (OH)Kerry 49-43 (FL)Kerry 48-42

[59millionmorons]

Bush, Kerry in dead heat in Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University poll finds; Nader holds the key to keystone state
IN PENNSYLVANIA...

GENERAL ELECTION

BUSH 43
KERRY 49

...ADD NADER
BUSH 43
KERRY 44
NADER 7 (Nader not getting anywere near 7%, only got 2% in 2000)
BUSH JOB APPROVAL
APPROVE 45
DISAPPROVE 53
SENATE
HOEFFEL 35
SPECTER 50

---------------------------------------------------------------
Ohio Poll http://americanresearchgroup.com/ohg/
---------------------------------------------------------------
Florida poll (Rasmussen)

Rolling sample of 400 LV, conducted June 10-24:
MOE +-5

Kerry 48 (48)
Bush 42 (44)

With leaners:

Kerry 54 (49)
Bush: 44 (47)

Rolling sample of 600 LV, conducted June 3-24:
MOE +-4

Kerry 48 (48)
Bush 42 (45)

[NMDemDist2]

1. check this site, he updates daily with new polls

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
it's looking good!

[Renew Deal]

2. Here are more great poles.

[VolcanoJen]

5. yuk, yuk, yuk!

:+

By the way, I'm diggin' the ARG poll, but the Zogby poll wasn't as kind to Ohio. :-(

[59millionmorons]

7. Last time

Zogby's is an internet poll. You have to sign up to take that poll. Which means you are already a left or right partisan.

[VolcanoJen]

9. According to their methodology, it was a traditional poll.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=836

There's an internet poll as well; I participate in it. The Zogby Ohio poll I was referring to was part of their more traditional Interactive Presidential Battleground Poll.

[59millionmorons]

10. Same point

You still have to sign up for that interactive poll. Only the severly partisan would bother.

[VolcanoJen]

14. No, I don't think this is a poll that one signs up for.

Zogby does do an internet "volunteer" poll, but this particular Zogby poll is a traditional poll, taken from phone lists that have been randomized. According to the methodology of the Zogby poll I'm citing, the phone numbers were selected; they did not "volunteer."

Am I just reading it differently?

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=836

SAMPLING

Telephone lists generated in our IT department are called from the 2002 version of a nationally published set of phone CDs of listed households, ordered by telephone number. Residential (or business) addresses are selected and then coded by region, where applicable. An appropriate replicate1 is generated from this parent list, applying the replicate algorithm repeatedly with a very large parent list, e.g., all of the US.

Acquired lists are tested for duplicates, coded for region, tested for regional coverage, and ordered by telephone, as needed.

[Blue-Jay]

3. Ohio will deliver.

I promise that. Polls be damned. I KNOW that we will go "blue" this year. Feel free to bookmark this thread. We will DELIVER.

Sure, it's anecdotal, but I have YET to find a single voter who has switched from Dem to Dumb. I have, however found many former duhbya voters who will either vote Kerry, vote Libertarian, or stay home.

Deal with it, creeps.

[gratuitous]

4. It's still early

But if I had my druthers, I'druther be leading than behind, and Kerry seems to be in good position, particularly this early. Voters are starting to take a good look at Chimpy, and a lot of them don't much care for what they see.

[LoZoccolo]

6. YEEAAAAAAAARGH!

:bounce:

[newsguyatl]

8. yeh, these are GREAT news for kerry!

he could be behind 10 points nationally, but if he carries OH and FL, there's absolutely NO way bush will win.

[ShaneGR]

11. There is no possible way for Bush to carry Ohio

He would have to give 10 pounds of gold to every Ohioan.... check the treasury!

[newsguyatl]

12. i hope you're right

if bushco. doesn't carry OH, there's no way (barring diebolding) that he can win the election.

[ShaneGR]

13. There is no way...

A perfect storm of events has finished Bush in the Buckeye State. It's over. Kerry goes to small Ohio towns and draws thousands. Bush has to handpick crowds of under a 1000 wherever he goes. Job losses. War losses. All under Republican leadership. For Ohio Republicans, the party is finally over. Thank god.