http://www.wstm.com/Global/story.asp?S=2015807Baghdad, Iraq-AP -- U-S military officials say the Iraqi resistance dwarfs recent official U-S estimates of about five-thousand guerrilla fighters.
Several officials tell The Associated Press that the uprising has so much popular support among nationalists who resent the U-S presence, a military victory is impossible.
One official who has criss-crossed Iraq to learn more about rebels says the resistance also doesn't fit the Bush administration's description.
An Iraq analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies says official estimates of a core of five-thousand fighters are "now clearly ridiculous."
Military analysts estimate up to 20-thousand rebels, including part-time fighters.
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http://www.alternet.org/waroniraq/19190/Facing the Enemy on the Ground
By Scott Ritter, AlterNet. Posted July 9, 2004.
The Iraqi resistance has been years in the making. And with the help of American involvement, the insurgency will continue to flourish and grow until no force can defeat it.
The battle for Iraq's sovereign future is a battle for the hearts and minds of the Iraqi people. As things currently stand, it appears that victory will go to the side most in tune with the reality of the Iraqi society of today: the leaders of the anti-U.S. resistance.
Iyad Allawi's government was recently installed by the United States-led Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) to counter a Ba'athist nationalism that ceased to exist nearly a decade ago. In the aftermath of the first Gulf War, Saddam Hussein's regime shifted toward an amalgam of Islamic fundamentalism, tribalism and nationalism that more accurately reflected the political reality of Iraq. Thanks to his meticulous planning and foresight, Saddam's lieutenants are now running the Iraqi resistance, including the Islamist groups.
Not only has the United States failed to put into place a viable government to replace the CPA in the aftermath of the so-called "transfer of sovereignty," but more importantly, it continues to misidentify the true nature of the Iraqi insurgency. As a consequence, the resistance will inevitably continue to flourish and grow until no force can defeat it, Iraqi or American.
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