Kerry leading in the Battleground: 17 of 22 states (52.35%) with 191 EV!!

[TruthIsAll]

Kerry in the Battleground

From the TIA Electoral Simulation
SC,VA,LA,CO, AR and..TN are in play!

Looking good....

State     %  EV
AR	50.6	6
CO	49.3	
FL	53.3	27
IA	51.5	7
LA	49	
ME	52.3	4
MI	54.2	17
MN	53.9	10
MO	52.1	11
NV	51.4	5
NH	56.7	4
NJ	56.6	15
NM	55.3	5
OH	51.1	20
OR	56.2	7
PA	54.1	21
SC	47.5	
TN	50.8	11
VA	48.5	
WA	55.1	11
WV	47.2	
WI	55.1	10
--------------
Total	52.35	191
     

[gristy]

1. Woo Hoo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I fear for what "they" might do. Remember the RNC operatives who disrupted the recount in FL? All the BFEE needs to do is LIHOP with regard to a Repub-favoring election disruption this time around.

They don't have to plan a damn thing. :scared:

[TexasSissy]

2. Great! But I think there are only 16 to 18 battle states.

New Hampshire? I didn't think that was a battleground state.

[arcos]

3. * won NH by a few thousand votes in 2000 n/t

[sandnsea]

4. More every day

If it keeps going this way, we'll have Kerry states and battleground states and nothing else! Although I don't know anything about this poll thing posted.

[MallRat]

5. It sure is.

2000 Election Results:
Bush- 48.0%
Gore- 46.8%
Nader- 3.9%

New Hampshire was one of two states in which Nader cost Gore the election (Florida, of course, being the other one).

-MR

[Ernesto]

11. Nader, the other repuke.

[Bluebear]

6. Gore would have carried NH without Nad...

oops won't go there again lol.

[TruthIsAll]

7. If Kerry takes just ONE of LA, WV, NC, VA,TN, CO, SC....

then Bush is dead in the water.

Cuz if Kerry takes one of these RED states, he will probably take a few more....

[Arugula Latte]

8. Wow!

I'm so glad Oregon looks like it is going for Kerry in a big way (at least according to this). Other polls showed a tight race, which made me nauseous. Maybe the Nader-sympathetic are throwing their support behind Kerry at this point, which could explain his rise here.

[TruthIsAll]

10. I allocate 70% of Undecided voters to Kerry.

Challengers historically get the bulk of the undecided votes. Also, I assume that Nader supporters will go for Kerry in the same way.

That is why my numbers are better.

[mermaid]

9. Kerry 322, Bush 205

http://www.electoral-vote.com/