What are the odds that 4 GWB Biographers "Suicided" Themselves?

[elehhhhna]

Four Bush biographers, Mark Lombardi, J.H. Hatfield, Danny Casalaro, and now Gary Webb--all "suicide" victims. What are the odds all of these people actually committing suicide?

Examining the male U.S.suicide rate for recent years
(http://www.suicidology.org/stats2001/1999datapage2.pdf), we can
extrapolate a conservative estimate of 17 male suicides per 100,000 people, or 0.017%. The odds of 4 specific, male biographers committing suicide would be the 4th power of 17/100000, or 8.3521 4.913 x 10^-17...roughly 1 chance 10,000,000,000,000,000. About as good a definition of impossible as you can get. A person would stand a better chance of playing the Canadian lottery 6/49 exactly twice in one's lifetime and winning ther grand jackpot BOTH TIMES! (That is, picking 6 numbers out of 49 possible numbers and matching all 6 numbers out of 6 random draws, on 2 separate occasions, and having only purchased two Canadian lottery tickets ever.) This calculation should be regarded as a conservative estimate: the actual odds against such a "coincidence" would be much greater. For example, if any of the biographers were female, the odds would be even greater.

http://www.indybay.org/news/2004/12/1709370_comment.php#1709433

[The Doctor.]

1. MO ?

How did they die?

Over what timespan?

[Skink]

2. All I know....

Two shot guns to the back of the head are reasonable proof of suicide.

[Cuban_Liberal]

3. The 'odds' reset daily. n/t

[elehhhhna]

4. Lombardi:

Lombardi's drawings purport to document financial and political frauds by power brokers. His 1999 drawing, entitled George W. Bush, Harken Energy and Jackson Stephens, ca 1979-90, shows the alleged connections between James Bath, the Bush and bin Laden families, and business deals in Texas and around the world.

After two highly successful solo art shows, Mark Lombardi died of suicide (hanging himself in his Williamsburg, New York studio) in March, 2000.

[elehhhhna]

5. Casalaro:

Casalaro: Joseph Daniel 'Danny' Casolaro (1947 - 1991) was a journalist who committed suicide during a lengthy investigation of a broad-ranging conspiracy related to the Inslaw flap. Some conspiracy theorists suspect that the suicide was actually murder, carefully staged to cover up whatever it was that Casolaro might have uncovered.

In the first week of August, Casolaro told friends and acquaintances
that he was going to West Virginia too meet a source who would provide a key piece of evidence he needed to complete his investigation. He drove to Martinsburg, West Virginia, on Thursday, August 8, and checked into room 517 of the Sheraton Hotel. Two days later, at 12:51 p.m., hotel employees found his naked body in a bathtub full of bloody water. Time of death has been estimated at about 9:00 a.m. <1>

Both arms and wrists had been slashed a total of at least 12 times;
one of the cuts went so deep that it severed a tendon. <2> Press accounts
differ on minor details of the scene, but there was apparently no evidence
of struggle. There was a four sentence suicide note in the bedroom

[uppityperson]

6. If I had to follow him around day after day I'd consider suicide too.

It's just darn bad luck. Or, the only people who would consider biographing him are psychologically suicidally depressed? Lots of reasons here.

[daydreamer]

7. odds are the same as Laura Bush

running the stop sign and kill her boyfriend.

[NJCher]

8. what an interesting post

Lots to mull over here.

Cher

[American Tragedy]

9. I can't totally blame them for killing themselves

upon realizing that this guy is actually the President of the United States.

[Cleita]

10. There's a lot of suicides over the years in the Bush family orbit.

Expect more. I think anyone who wants to write any exposes of these people in the future do so with a nom d' plume, with a foreign publisher and carefully keep their identity and whereabouts secret. These people are dangerous and have no unacceptable boundaries to stop them.