Heads up, Florida and SE coast

[shawmut]

A rapidly developing Tropical system is not far offshore:



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float2-vis-loop.html




This will be TS Franklin by late afternoon ... and by the looks of it, it may be a hurricane soon.

[ewagner]

1. Creeepppsssssss....

That's an EYE forming!

[slor]

2. I am going to Nag's Head, NC on Saturday...

I hope it stays clear.

[teach1st]

6. Maybe not an eye

ON Edit: Replied to wrong post...sorry.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

Posted: 3:50pm EDT Thursday July 21
=================================
The wave over the Bahamas continues to rapidly spin up, and a cloud free area has developed near the circulation center. This cloud-free area is not an eye; the storm has a long ways to go before it attains hurricane strength. Ship reports and QuikSCAT winds both show tropical storm force winds, so I imagine we'll have Tropical Storm Franklin with the 5pm advisory, if the Hurricane Hunters can close off a circulation.

As Steve Gregory points out in his blog, it is too early to dismiss the threat to Florida from this system. While the GFS and GFDL models both recurve the storm, the BAMM model shows the storm crossing Florida. Although the BAMM is usually the poorest performer of the models we post on our computer model page, with such a compact and shallow system, the BAMM could very well have a better handle on the track.

Posted: 2pm EDT Thursday July 21
==============================
Latest visible satellite images show an unmistakable rotation of the tropical wave moving through the Bahamas. QuickSCAT winds continue to show tropical-storm force winds on the east side of the wave, and it would not surprise me if we had Tropical Storm Franklin by tonight. We'll have to wait until the Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft arrives at 4pm today to see if a tropical depression or tropical storm has indeed formed.

As indicated in my blog from this morning, this system is expected to recurve away from the East Coast of the U.S. and not pose an immediate threat to any land, except for the northernmost Bahama Islands.

Dr. Jeff Masters

[woodsprite]

9. Have a blast! But keep an eye on the weather.

We just got back from 10 days in Hatteras. I WANNA GO BACK!!!
Delaware beaches totally suck compared to any of the beaches down there.

[slor]

11. You asked me to have a good time on your 666 post...

I think I will cancel the trip! ; )

[ixion]

3. also a large depression to the south

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm1/gulfofmexicosatellite_large.html

[BlueJazz]

4. Damn!!...That sucker developed Fast! Geez..Thanks...

:)

[Walt Starr]

5. Looks like we could have TS Franklin any minute n/t

[Tuesday_Morning]

7. What???

Where'd that sucker come from?

[Ivote]

8. Hurricane Hunters Are In The Storm Now

Will have a report in the hour
:kick:

[loudsue]

10. Looks like Mother Earth is kickin' back.

:kick::kick::kick: