The first, concrete crack in the Republican monolith will be:

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

Right now there's a lotta smoke, but no fire. Nothing concrete has happened yet that will do anything to break the Republican hold on power.

I realize that some of these entries are interrelated. Perhaps they all are.

[LiberalVoice]

1. I hope its...

"Emergence of a vibrant antiwar movement from the beginnings in Crawford"

[wakeme2008]

2. While not listed the cost of gas

is going to hurt a lot of Bush voters, and blaming it on Clinton does not work in Bush's second term.

IMHO.....

[Canuckistanian]

3. "some unknown scandal"

I think they could shake off Rovegate, Cindy AND the Iraq war, but I still believe there are lots of skeletons in that WH closet. And someone's going to spill the beans.

It will just add just enough to the critical mass which starts the conflagration....

[Murdock]

4. Sorry

Nothing at all will touch them.. They have consolidated power at the highest echelons. Everything we throw at them will do, as it has done.. simply hit the teflon and slide off..

[HysteryDiagnosis]

5. Invading Iraq for no good reason.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

6. Did you choose the 'antiwar movement' option?

Ultimately I think the Iraq War in some way is the source of their downfall, whether it's due to loss of support (happening now) or impeachment or other things related to it. Ultimately, Plamegate and a lot of the other problems all relate to Iraq anyway.

[HysteryDiagnosis]

9. The Iraq war will bring these effing criminals to justice because it

is going to result in investigations the likes of which we have never seen in this country... and it's about damn time. Like the article in another thread says... "Follow the money". Your answers lie therein.

[newswolf56]

7. None of the above. I think the cost of fuel will trigger...

total economic collapse -- collapse that for two reasons will be worse in the United States than anywhere else on the planet: (1)- this country's near-total (and deliberately imposed) lack of public transportation will paralyze the economy beyond any prospect of recovery and (2)-the lack of a social safety net (also deliberately imposed) will result in homelessness, starvation and untreated disease on a scale hitherto unseen.

Normally, this would again do to the Republicans what the Great Depression did: banish them from national office for at least 20 years. But I don't think the Bush Administration will allow that to happen -- which is why I predict (more?) Reichstag Fire type incidents, all eventually leading to martial law, cancellation of the elections, and a general descent into tyranny. Plus the continued collapse of the economy: the reduction of the entire workforce to a depth of abject poverty never witnessed in the industrial world. The unanswered question is of course what the ever-more-oppressed American citizenry will do in response.



Edit: deletion of redundancy.

[Burried News]

8. I'm rooting for Traitorgate but I think your analysis is excellent.

I would summarize it as:
Dollar devaluation!

At it's core the dollar is backed by our ability to control oil - we can't.

[Coyote_Bandit]

10. A house divided

against itself cannot stand.

The first crack will be the result of irreconcilable differences between the neo-cons and the more traditional repukes. They will fall from inside. And I would venture that the spat will be over money.

[wli]

11. getting economically outcompeted by foreign powers n/t

They own the federal government; no threat from within can touch them.

[Independent_Liberal]

12. I think Plamegate indictments...

...will be the beginning.

[John Q. Citizen]

13. I didn't vote because i think it's the overall stench of lies, corruption,

incompetence as embodied and demonstrated from different areas and parts of this administration as well as congress that will bring down the Neo-cons.

A thousand cuts if you will, will be the undoing of the Neo-cons in both parties and from all walks of life.

At this point we need to vigorously oppose all neocons running for congress in all party primaries, and oppose Republican neo-cons in the general.