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Mark E. Smith Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-20-05 03:37 PM
Original message
Polls: Democrats Increasing 2006 Congressional Lead
A little good news for a Sunday.

Newsweek Poll:

November '05:
Republicans 36%
Democrats 53%
Unsire 11%

Late September '05:
Republicans 42%
Democrats 47%
Unsure 11%

Diageo/Hotline Poll:

November '05:
Republicans 29%
Democrats 39%
Neither 20%

June '05:
Republicans 36%
Democrats 35%
Neither 20%

NBC/WSJ Poll:

November '05:
Republicans 37%
Democrats 48%

July '05:
Republicans 40%
Democrats 45%

Democracy Corps Poll:

November '05:
Republicans 40%
Democrats 48%

March '05:
Republicans 45%
Democrats 46%

CNN/USA Today/Gallup:

November '05:
Republicans 34%
Democrats 46%
Neither 12%

May '05:
Republicans 36%
Democrats 47%
Neither 9%

http://www.pollingreport.com/2006.htm
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BrklynLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-20-05 03:49 PM
Response to Original message
1. Sure hope this momentum keeps going for another year!! and another
2 years after THAT!!!
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Tom Joad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-20-05 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
2. If they follow Murtha's lead. Just say we are getting the hell out of Iraq
then their numbers will go way up. Instead the offer differing "exit strategies", based on what happens in Iraq.
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Peace Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-20-05 04:16 PM
Response to Original message
3. Most of these numbers are still not within a safe margin, given Diebold's
Edited on Sun Nov-20-05 04:19 PM by Peace Patriot
and ES&S's "TRADE SECRET," PROPIETARY SOFTWARE in about 80% of our election system, and their ability to easily hack in a 3% to 5% advantage to Republicans.

We need a blowout election, with a 10% to 20% safety margin to overcome pre-programmed fraud.

I suspect that tweaking the numbers on election day is not so easy, and that pre-programming is the way they've gone (at least in 2004--I think the reason for the overt vote suppression in Ohio and other places was that Kerry won by a comfortable margin of 4% to 5%, and Diebold and ES&S pre-programming wasn't enough to overcome it). Also, I suspect they don't want the numbers to be too far out of whack, so they are limited by that desire not to expose this fraudulent election system to too much of a spotlight.

One final thought on these polls: The motives of war profiteering corporate news monopolies in putting out polls that are tweaked to make Repubs look bad at this point, may be to generate more Repub donations and political support--to activate their base, in fear of a Dem sweep.

My guess: I think they will permit us some modest gains in '06 (but nowhere near a majority) in order to throw suspicion off of the election system itself, and to muffle the growing election reform movement. We will not get a majority in Congress no matter how many voters we motivate to go the polls. They will not permit that danger of impeachment. Our modest gains will be spun as an amazing Bush recovery.

My '08 prediction (given the current, fraudulent election system): We may see the selection of a War Democrat--needed to start taking some of the rap for Bush financial and foreign policy disasters, and to get a Draft (which Bush can't do). After they destroy that Dem president, we'll probably get the real Nazi (besides Rumsfeld), in '12, that is, Jeb. But the War Dem may just provide us our last opportunity to restore election transparency nationwide, by federal action. We must not be distracted by whoever it is they choose as our leader in the primaries, and instead focus our energy on...

...throwing Diebold and ES&S election theft machines into 'Boston Harbor'!

-----

See this URGENT ACTION thread re: Diebold in California!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104x5410364
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skipos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-20-05 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. CA, NJ and VA '05. Kaine had a 3% pre-election margin and
went on to win by 6%. In a state that voted for Bush by a margin of 8% nonetheless.

Fortunately Diebold defeatism didn't take over and we won BIG in 05. We can win in 06 too.
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