STREET LIFE
Conspicuous Resumption
On Wall Street a fat year means big bonuses. Let the party begin.
By Andy Serwer
This holiday season is shaping up to be especially joyous on Wall Street—so filled with good cheer and fat bonuses (not necessarily in that order) that some very well-off folks far from the Street are taking notice. I was up in Boston the other day visiting with
Jack Welch at his magnificent townhouse on Beacon Hill. We were having a wide-ranging discussion when at one point the talk turned to Wall Street, and
the legendary retired CEO of GE began marveling at what a splendiferous year 2005 has been for bankers and brokers. "Flush times down there," he said in his trademark rasp. "I think they are going to have their best year since the turn of the century."Yes, bonus expectations couldn't be higher. And by all accounts they will be met. Not that the markets soared this year. While certain sectors were obviously stud performers (even after giving back gains recently, the NYSE energy index is still up 26% year to date), the major stock indexes are all hovering around flat (bonds haven't been great shakes either). But there was plenty of volatility, which is always a good thing for the men and women with a piece of the action. And despite the one-two-three economic punches of hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma, there was no autumn swoon on the Street.
In fact, with oil and gasoline prices falling, the fourth quarter is shaping up to be a humdinger, and confidence on the Street is running high. Yes, Delphi and Delta went into Chapter 11. But
bankruptcies actually create business for Wall Street. And, yes, there was one itsy Enron-esque debacle (the implosion of Refco), but the damage appears to be contained. All in all, 2005 has been pretty much devoid of morale-sapping events. And most important of all for the i-bankers,
the business of mergers and acquisitions clicked into high gear after years of subpar activity.Okay, so just how big will the bucks be? Jacques Nordeman, CEO of Nordeman Grimm, an executive-search firm that specializes in recruiting top-notch Wall Street bankers, says that
top performers among his clientele can expect to see bonuses 20% to 30% higher this year than last. For investment bankers at the top of the food chain (those with at least ten years' experience and base pay of about $250,000), we are talking about bonuses as high as $2 million to $3 million or more. That's some serious scratch.
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