A VERY noticable shift in my district

[AWD]

I know that a lot are disheartened by losses yesterday. Not me. I see a HUGE swing taking place, at least in my area.

let me show you a few results from yesterday's local elections.

CITY OF CANTON
For Mayor
REP - JANET WEIR CREIGHTON . . . . 8,380 51.16
DEM - BILL SMUCKLER . . . . . . 8,001 48.84
Total . . . . . . . . . . 16,381 100.00

Granted, we lost this one...but take a look at the previous Mayoral election, from 1999.

CITY OF CANTON
For Mayor
DEM - WILLIAM J. HEALY . . . . . 7,238 41.96
REP - RICHARD D. WATKINS . . . . . 10,011 58.04
Total . . . . . . . . . . 17,249 100.00

Folks, that's a FOURTEEN POINT SWING.

More results....


2003
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council First Ward
DEM - GREGORY HAWK . . . . . . . 906 71.79
REP - LARRY SNIDER . . . . . . . 356 28.21
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,262 100.00

1999
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council First Ward
DEM - JOSEPH L. HUNTER . . . . . 757 50.74
REP - PAUL J. PUSATERI . . . . . 735 49.26
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,492 100.00

In 1999, we won wih 50.74% of the vote. yesterday, we took 71.79%!

2003
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Second Ward
KENNETH A. KOCINSKY . . . . . . 160 15.44
DEM - THOMAS E. WEST . . . . . . 876 84.56
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,036 100.00

1999
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Second Ward
REP - MAJOR BARNES, II . . . . . 200 20.94
DEM - EDDIE COLEMAN . . . . . . 518 54.24
IND - AARON L. MAYO . . . . . . 237 24.82
Total . . . . . . . . . . 955 100.00

1999 - 54.24%
2003 - 84.56%

2003
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Third Ward
REP - KERRY J. DOUGHERTY . . . . . 858 40.78
DEM - RICHARD A. MALLONN . . . . . 1,246 59.22
Total . . . . . . . . . . 2,104 100.00

1999
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Third Ward
DEM - RICHARD A. MALLONN, II . . . 1,887 100.00
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,887 100.00

Yesterday they FINALLY put somebody up against R.A. and we still pulled in nearly 60%

2003
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Fourth Ward
REP - FREDERICK A. MOORE . . . . . 267 18.28
DEM - KELLY A. ZACHARY . . . . . 1,194 81.72
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,461 100.00

1999
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Fourth Ward
DEM - CHARLES EDE . . . . . . . 1,159 100.00
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,159 100.00

Another wasted Repub effort.

2003
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Fifth Ward
DEM - TERRY S. PRATER . . . . . . 1,063 79.39
REP - JAYSON SELF . . . . . . . 276 20.61
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,339 100.00

1999
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Fifth Ward
REP - ERIC BONK . . . . . . . . 425 30.04
DEM - JOHN MROCZKOWSKI . . . . . 990 69.96
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,415 100.00

We gained 10% of the vote from 1999.



2003
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Sixth Ward
DEM - DAVID R. DOUGHERTY . . . . . 900 67.26
REP - BILL GLENN . . . . . . . 438 32.74
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,338 100.00

1999
CITY OF CANTON
For Member of Council Sixth Ward
DEM - DAVID R. DOUGHERTY . . . . . 1,225 100.00
Total . . . . . . . . . . 1,225 100.00

Still won, they finally tried to beat us but still came up short.





These are VERY typical results from my area....the backlash has begun, folks. And we're gonna continue it in 2004!

[w4rma]

1. This sounds good for *your* election, AWD. Good luck! (n/t)

[wryter2000]

2. That is good news

Thanks!

[nadinbrzezinski]

3. Goody

this is good news

[NNadir]

4. In Mercer County New Jersey we also overturned 24 years of Repukiclan rule

We also took the legislature, even though our Democratic Governor has been less than spectacular.

[shirlden]

5. Thanks for the analysis

in your area. I would like to see all the Duers do this in their own areas. The day was not as bleak as it looks, just because we lost two state gov. Here is Ohio, we smacked Repub Taft good, by voting down his pet issue.
I am still stuck on the fact that here in Franklin County, we managed to turn out just 25% of the registered voters. This is sick. I think a lot had to do with the fact that the Repubs did not run anyone against the very popular Columbus Mayor, Coleman. That left just some uninteresting races and may have been a good strategy by the Repubs. If they had put someone against Coleman, that would have turned out a big Dem vote. All in all the Dems did pretty good in Franklin County and Columbus. We managed to hang on to city council.
:kick:

[Name removed]

6. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[jiacinto]

7. Were these incumbents or open seats?

These results don't tell the whole story.

[AWD]

9. Ya lost me Carlos...

....these are results from the same Wards compared to the last election. No open seats.

I posted them to show the vote totals from 4 years ago and show how much of a swing the voters in each ward (and city) are now voting for the Dem candidate.

But I have used these numbers to show a little strategy for my own campaign....

I need 58,000 votes to beat Ralph Regula.

By just showing up, I get 30% - that's 34,800 voted (30 percent of the average number of votes cast in 1998, 2000, 2002)

By getting the message out consistently, another 10% will vote Democratic (apathy weighs heavy with a candidate not being publicized) - that's another 11,600 votes.

So far, that gives me 46,400 votes - another 11,600 votes and I'm in.

From 1999-2003, there was a LOWER voter turnout, and the Dem candidate still pulled in nearly 1,000 more votes than they did the previous Mayoral election (and trust me, the Repub candidate was strong and predicted a landslide)

10,600 more to go.

I'll do the numbers on the rest of the communities in my area, but I've seen the results, and a Dem swing IS taking place.

My calculations tell me that I need to keep the voters that already have swung, and add 7,000 more. I have 12 months to sway 7,000 more voters to vote for me.

And I haven't campaigned in the community yet.

I feel great about this...I hope you can join me in my enthusiasm.

[jiacinto]

14. Who are the swing voters of your district

You better start hitting them now.

[AWD]

15. My targeting expert...

...is going over the numbers now and will have results for me by next week.

[CMT]

8. Ohio did have a noticeable democratic swing in yesterdays voting

and it is something to cheer about!!

[ShaneGR]

10. Same thing up here in Summit County

Though we were already winning in Akron, we went from 5-10 point victories to 40 point blowouts. 40% turnout, which is high for an odd year mayoral race, and the Suburban voting was noticably different. Dems were elected in Green, Tallmadge, Wadsworth, Norton, Stow, Cuyahoga Falls, etc.

Very big swing.

[denverbill]

11. That' very good news AWD.

We tend to hear all about the big races: governorships, etc, but not much about the more local races.

If a Democrat can win in Ohio in 2004, look out Shrub.

Good luck AWD!!

[AWD]

12. Thank you

I feel MUCH more confident today than I did two days ago.....

[NewJeffCT]

13. in my town of 30,000

Two years ago, the Democrat won the mayoral race by 200 votes. This time around, I thought he'd lose because the Repubs had a huge number of big signs all over town, while I saw maybe 1/4 that number of signs for the incumbent Democrat.

However, the Democratic mayor won by 2,000 votes this time around against the same guy he beat by only 200 last time.

small victory, but it was good.

[ShaneGR]

16. Where is that?

Just wondering.