Gallup: 33% certain to vote against Bush, 24% certain to vote for *

[CMT]

Overall 44% are certain or leaning towards voting for Bush, compared to 43% who say they are certain or leaning towards voting against Bush.

Now here is the interesting part, A third (33%) say they are CERTAIN to vote AGAINST Bush. While less than a quarter (24%) say they are CERTAIN to vote FOR Bush.

This tells me that the strong opponents to Bush are much larger than his strong supporters and in an election where turnout is all-important that people who are strongly for or against Bush will probably turn out in higher numbers than people who are less more uncertain. If this is the case, then the anti-Bush voters (as of right now) have a decided edge.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

[Bombtrack]

1. might sound good, but Reagan in 83/84 and Clinton in 95/96 had worse

numbers

We will need a very strong nominee to deafeat him

[opihimoimoi]

2. The Nominee must have a very strong and pertinent MESSAGE

that resonants with Joe Six Pack, Hard Hats, Geeks, Nerds, Whites, Blks/Brwns/etc, Elderly, Youth, Employed, Unemployed, Macho, etc etc.

Can we do it?? Of course we can/

Bush did it with a very weak base/message.

[wryter2000]

4. Tiny correction

Bush didn't do it. He didn't win in 2000. (Unless you're talking about his father.)

[kentuck]

3. I think a lot of voters are holding off...

until they see what direction the economy and the war are headed... If they deteriorate further, they will withdraw their support.