Latest Poll info - Bush re-elect 46% Zogby, 42% Fox

[papau]

From (7/28/2003) - The Tullahoma News

A Zogby poll released today shows that when asked if George Bush deserves re-election, only 46 percent of Americans said yes and a narrow majority, 47 percent, said it is time for someone new. The poll, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent, on a generic 2004 ballot between Bush and a Democratic candidate, Bush received 47 percent of support, and a Democratic candidate received 44 percent, putting the Bush and a Democratic candidate in a statistical dead heat still a year before the Democratic candidate is selected. The second poll, released yesterday by Fox News/Opinion Dynamics and published in National Journal's Hotline showed should the 2004 election be held today, those planning to reelect Bush had dropped to 42 percent.
Zogby America Poll. July 16-17, 2003. N=1,004 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.2.
.
"Do you think President Bush deserves to be reelected or do you think it is time for someone new?"
.
DeservesReelection SomeoneNew NotSure
% % %
7/16-17/03 46 47 6
6/6-10/03 49 38 13
"If the election for president were held today and the candidates were Republican George W. Bush and a Democrat, for whom would you vote?"
.
GeorgeW. Bush(R) Democrat Other(vol.) NotSure
% % % %
7/16-17/03 47 44 1 8
6/6-10/03 44 37 3 16
3/03 48 38 2 13

From CATO: Kerry,Edwards and Gephardt - are now loudly denouncing the messy aftermath of the war (but)Cato fellow Pat Basham says Dean has been the main beneficiary, having declared his anti-war credentials early "If it gets worse for Bush in Iraq, Dean will go from strength to strength," said Patrick Basham, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, a political think-tank. "But finding weapons of mass destruction, finding Saddam, will deflate Dean’s candidacy."

From (7/27/2003) Scotland on Sunday By Jacqui Goddard: ... Zogby believes the competition boils down to just three candidates: Dean, Gephardt and Kerry....Ambitiously touted as ‘the new JFK’, Senator Edwards has failed to shine. Even in his own state, polls show voters would choose Bush over him by a ratio of three to two.
Gephardt is looking vulnerable and has missed his fundraising goal so far by more than $1.2m (£750,000). He had banked on the backing of labour unions, but Dean and Kerry have muscled in.....Even Senator Kerry, a Vietnam veteran with establishment credentials and the biggest war chest - at $13.9m (£8.7m) to date - is seeing his supporter base undercut by Dean, a doctor who has mobilised supporters over the internet and raised donations from ordinary people rather than fat cats at cocktail parties.

From latest New Hampshire Poll (Manchester-based American Research Group)...Kerry favored by 25 percent of likely Democratic primary voters, followed by Dean at 19 percent and Rep. Dick Gephardt of Missouri at 10 percent. The July poll, which surveyed 600 voters this past week, had a margin of error of 4 percentage points. The poll found Lieberman at 6 percent, Sens. John Edwards of North Carolina and Bob Graham of Florida at 2 percent, and former Sen. Carol Moseley Braun, Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio and the Rev. Al Sharpton at 1 percent. Of the 30 percent of voters who described themselves as undecided, 45 percent have a favorable opinion of Kerry, and 42 percent have a favorable opinion of Dean.

[bluestateguy]

1. Only 42% in a FOX poll?!

WOW! That spells trouble, when his own official news station is pimping a poll number that has his reelect at only 42%. It probably is even lower.

[MissouriTeacher]

2. Is there a statistics-handy...

person who could tell us what Bush I's re-elect numbers were at approximately this time?

[gristy]

3. yes, I was thinking the same thing

I want to know what happened with Bush I over his last year of campaigning.

[gasperc]

4. almost certain Bush was in the 70's through summer 1991

as the recovery looked weaker and weaker and the deficit ballooning, the economy took center stage by the end of the year. Clinton officially entered in October 1991. I don't know if he was campaigning earlier in the year.

[gasperc]

5. data archived at gallup

www.gallup.com

[CBHagman]

6. "These people are beatable," said Jeff Faux

So much for the Washington Post's mantra of "popular wartime president." Is the word getting out that the emperor is starkers? Let us keep at it.

"Psst! The emperor has no clothes. Pass it on!"

[Doctor_J]

7. It's all downhill from here

Time for Mrs. Clark to start picking out curtains. *'s only got two cards left to play:

1. Parading Saddam's corpse around
2. Bringing home the soldiers

The shock value of 1. won't be that great at this point, and 2. will admit that the whole invasion was a mistake.

Meanwhile the economy's still in the tank, NK's festering, Blair's going down, Liberia is a fiasco, the 9/11, WMD, Enron, scandals won't go away, he can't stop himself from lying, and jobs are flocking overseas.

I just hope that we have elections next year, and that we can somehow plug the dam so we still ahve a country left to rebuild beginning in 1/05.

[Code_Name_D]

8. LOL, Cato stil waiting for WMD

They are truly truly desporet, just to even hang on to the elusions about this war. WMD are clearly key to that elusion, much like the ongoing serch (at tax payer expense) for Clintion's criminal activities.

[papau]

9. I agree - I was LOL at serious faced "warnings" on Fox to Dems

Blakely just will not turn it off!

While fun to watch on Sunday pundit, it is easier to read about later and avoid throwing things at TV!