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What Is Your Record In Predicting Presidential Elections?

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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:34 PM
Original message
What Is Your Record In Predicting Presidential Elections?
I'm 0-2 so far in my brief politically-active life.

I voted for Bob Dole in 1996 (back when I didn't know politics and voted just for the fun of it).

And I voted for Ralph Nader in 2000 (back when I knew a little more, but not nearly as much as I do now).

I'm hoping I don't go 0-3 this year, becuase that would really, really, suck.

How about you?
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sujan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:36 PM
Response to Original message
1. I thought bush would win in 2000, he did
well 'selected', if you want to be technical.
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Best_man23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. I'm 4-1
Only missed on the selection of 2000.
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MoonGod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:46 PM
Response to Original message
3. In predicting elections, I'm 3 for 3...
... picked Clinton, Clinton, and Gore.. all won.

In terms of voting, though, I wasn't old enough to vote in '92, voted for Nader in '96, and Gore in '00.
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:47 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. so how are you three for three?
You're 0-2 like me.

I'm talking about acutal voting records, not "who you thought" would win.
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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
5. 2 Wins 3 Losses and One stolen
1980 - John Anderson (sorry Jimmy, I was a fool) - Loss
1984 - Walter Mondale - Loss
1988 - Michael Dukakis - Loss
1992 - Bill Clinton - Win
1996 - Bill Clinton - Win
2000 - Al Gore - Stolen
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GOPisEvil Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:53 PM
Response to Original message
6. Lessee...
1988 - Dukakis (Bzzzzzt!)
1992 - Clinton (Yay!!!!!)
1996 - Clinton (Yay!!!!!)
2000 - Gore (Don't get me started!!!!!)
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JohnKleeb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:54 PM
Response to Original message
7. 0-0-1
I didnt predict the election when I was one, five, and nine with Dukakis and Clinton. I wanted Gore to win but that was stolen/
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Kellanved Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:58 PM
Response to Original message
8. not Presidential; but in Federal elections I'm 2-0
In state elections it's 1-1; in local elections 0-1
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:15 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. by that standard
I'm 4-5 (if you count congressional and senate races too)

2000 - (House) Carolyn McCarthy (D-NY) - win
2000 - (County Exec) Tom Suozzi (Nassau County exec.) - win
2000 - (Senate) Hillary Clinton - win
2002 - (House) Carolyn McCarthy - win
2002 - (Governor) Carl McCall - loss
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Kellanved Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:29 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. Well, our election mode is different
98 (Bundestag Elections) -; 1.: Klaus Wiesehügel - loss ;2. Greens -win
99 (Hesse State Elections): 1. Michael Paris -loss; 2. SPD -loss
2001 (Berlin State Elections): 1: Max E. Neumann - loss; 2. SPD - win
2001 (Local Elections): loss
2002 (Bundestag): 1. Wolfgang Thierse - win; 2. SPD - win
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Chuckup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 12:59 PM
Response to Original message
9. 100%, not a miss N/T
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KamaAina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:13 PM
Response to Original message
10. Rather hateful
I keep picking the Democrat :(
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PAMod Donating Member (651 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:15 PM
Response to Original message
12. "What Is Your Record In Predicting Presidential Elections?"
You mean the year before the election like now?

I predicted:

1976 Kennedy (0-1) -even though he said he wouldn't run.
1980 Kennedy (0-2) -even though he hadn't yet decided.
1984 Kennedy (0-3) -see 1976 (notice a trend? I was hard-headed in my youth & loved the Kennedys.)
1988 Hart (0-3) -most of the young folk probably don't remember Donna Rice
1992 Bush (0-4) -Bill who, Governor of where!? (I thought Cuomo
would be our guy and lose)
1996 Clinton (1-4) -of course.
2000 Gore (2-4 or 1-5...) -well, you know that story.

Now if you talk about predicting the outcome after the conventions, I predicted them all correctly (or not, see 2000).

Actual voting - I've always voted Democratic for president, since '84 when I reached voting age, so you know how that went.



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JohnKleeb Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:21 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. welcome aboard I like the Kennedies too
We only got about 3 years of Jack and Bobby and Teddy would had been good as well. :( unfortunate.
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:18 PM
Response to Original message
13. I have 2 losses and one stolen election
Edited on Thu Aug-28-03 01:20 PM by liberalnurse
to my credit. I lossed Carter re-election and Dukakas election.

Carter first election was my first too.

I vote straight democratic, always! I always vote too!
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myrna minx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 01:22 PM
Response to Original message
15. 2 wins and one stolen. n/t
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Spirochete Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 02:16 PM
Response to Original message
17. I'm 2 for 8.
1972 - voted for McGovern
1976 - wrote in Frank Zappa
1980 - wrote in Frank Zappa again
1984 - voted for Mondale
1988 - voted for Dukakis
1992 - voted for Clinton
1996 - voted for Clinton again
2000 - voted for Gore

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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
18. 3 for 3
predicted Clinton in 92, Clinton in 96 and Gore in 2000. Too young to vote in any.
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nedlogg Donating Member (294 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 02:29 PM
Response to Original message
19. Dismal
72 - McGovern

76 - Carter

80 - Carter

84 - Mondale

88 - Dukakis

92 - Perot

96 - Perot

00 - Gore

The only winner I've had was Carter in '76.

However, I was not dissapointed that Clinton won in '92 and '96 and would have voted that way if it looked like he needed the extra vote.
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CO Liberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 02:33 PM
Response to Original message
20. Not Too Good
1960 - I wanted JFK - he won
1964 - I wanted Goldwater (because I didn't trust LBJ) - he lost
1968 - I wanted Humphrey (after RFK died) - he lost
1972 - I voted for McGovern - he lost
1976 - I voted for Ford (married to a Republican at the time) - he lost
1980 - I voted for Reagan (BIG mistake) - he won
1984 - I voted for Mondale - he lost
1988 - I voted for Dukakis - he lost
1992 - I voted for Clinton - he won
1996 - I voted for Clinton - he won
2000 - I voted for Gore - he won, but had it stolen from him

So counting Gore, I'm 5 for 11 - batting .454............
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last_texas_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 04:22 PM
Response to Original message
21. I'd say I'm 1-1 with an asterisk...
...but only based upon whom I THOUGHT would win, not who I actually would have voted for. I was only 17 during the 2000 election so I haven't actually gotten to vote beyond the 2002 midterms and primaries.

1996 was the first one I was following elections close enough to make a difference. My dad supported Perot while my mom supported Clinton, but we pretty much all assumed a Clinton victory. I might have actually supported Perot back then, though. (Hey, I was in eighth grade... I liked him 'cause he seemed to be rocking the boat.)

In 2000 I was a bigtime Gore supporter, despite coming in a little late in the game to be of much assistance to the campaign, but I assumed Bush was going to prevail by a 5-percent or so margin, popularly and electorally. I guess that has to do with living in Texas; it seemed like just too many people *loved* Shrub for anyone but him to prevail. Imagine my surpise when Gore actually shored up a popular vote victory, while also truly prevailing in the Electoral College when all the votes in Florida were counted. So I give that election an asterisk. I predicted the "winner" in terms of the man who became President, but not in terms of who truly "won" the election minus the intervention of the judicial branch... :mad:
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tjdee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 04:41 PM
Response to Original message
22. Pretty good, if I do say so myself--but I'm younger...
Edited on Thu Aug-28-03 04:43 PM by tjdee
The first election I actually remember thinking about was in 1988.
I knew Dukakis would lose, and frankly, I don't know how all of you could have missed it, LOL! Was he really the best we had in '88?? I knew Bush would win. Couldn't vote.

In 1992, I had suspicions about the BFEE already, liked Gary Hart, but the Donna Rice thing made me frown frown frown. Anyway, after Arsenio I knew Clinton was my man. After he went on MTV and Poppy Bush didn't, I knew he would win.

In 1996, no brainer. I voted, but I knew I almost didn't have to.

In 2000, I knew there was funny business, because how in the world could Dummy McStupid be polling so high? Bill Bradley is my homeboy, but I knew that Gore would get it and I wanted him to, thought he could win. No one could have predicted what happened, though.
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AntiCoup2K4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 04:46 PM
Response to Original message
23. Haven't missed one yet.
I knew Reagan was unstoppable in 84, due to the mythology that still surrounds him (a lesson we must not forget with the chimpnazi's corporate media)

I knew Dukakis didn't have a prayer in 88 - and it made me sick every single day to think of a 12 year BCE White House.

I knew Bill Clinton would win the election the first time I saw him on TV, which was early in the campaign.

1996 - did ANYONE, even Repukes, really think Dole had a chance?

2000 - I predicted that Junior would lie his way into a very close race, but that Gore would win. Unfortunately, I didn't account for a Supreme Court asissted theft :-(

2004 - A Dean/Clark ticket will kick these criminal fascists out of the White House. A Democratic Senate is very possible if the senators currently campaigning do the right thing and withdraw early, if they can't win. We need them in the Senate more than we need a fight over the nomination that will prevent the eventual nominee from building a Rove-proof campaign.
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zekeson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-28-03 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
24. voted vs prediction
on voting I am 2 of 6. Prediction-wise I am 4 of 6. Though I like to think I should be 2-3-1 and 4-1-1, with the ones being steals as someone above posted.
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