Poll: PA falling out of favor with the president

[phillybri]

http://www.philly.com/mld/dailynews/7315468.htm

President Bush's popularity in Pennsylvania has dipped by almost one-quarter since April and his prospects for re-election have softened, according to the latest Daily News/Fox Philadelphia Keystone Poll.

The president's popularity is actually higher than his job approval rating, which has fallen into negative territory in a reflection of his poll standing nationwide.

Asked if Bush "has done a good enough job to deserve re-election," 44 percent said "yes," 48 percent "no." The 4 percent deficit matches his 2000 margin of defeat in Pennsylvania to Al Gore.

U.S. Sen. Arlen Specter, R-Pa., who seeks re-election to a fifth term next year, holds substantial leads over little-known Republican and Democratic opponents even though his job approval rating is only 42 percent.

U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum, R-Pa., a lightning rod of controversy for seeking to outlaw homosexuality earlier this year, is viewed favorably by 46 percent - virtually unchanged over the past four years. His term extends through 2006.

[felonious thunk]

1. This is good news

Especially considering Rendell's overall popularity in the state. I don't understand why the PA Democratic party can't get its act together though. Specter is beatable this year, just like Santorum was in 2000. I hope run a better campaign this time.

It'll be great having Rendell stumping the state for the eventual Dem nominee though. I really can't see Bush picking up PA, and it's going to be a big state. The Democrats have to make sure to get the Philly vote out like the mayoral race this year, and the Western PA union vote. If those blocks come out, Bush can't win the state.

[CMT]

2. Specter's low job approval rating

makes him a key target for dems in 2004.

[mndemocrat_29]

3. Beating Specter

Is one of the best shots we have at retaking the Senate. Should we beat Specter in 2004, Santorum should be beatable in 2006 (I still say that Bob Casey, Jr. will run against Santorum and win).

Good new for the Democrats in Pennsylvania!

:bounce:

[jiacinto]

4. Specter is going to be a top target

He has always fared poorly in presidential cycles, only narrowly winning. He eked out narrow wins in 1980 and in 1992.