New Ipsos-Reid National Poll

[unfrigginreal]

11/18-11/20
Dean 20
Clark 15
Gephardt 15
Kerry 14
Lieberman 9
Edwards 5
Braun 3
Kucinich 3
Sharpton 3
Other 12

11/4-11/20
Dean 20
Clark 16
Gephardt 14
Lieberman 12
Kerry 10
Edwards 5
Kucinich 4
Braun 3
Sharpton 3
Other 12

http://www.ipsos-reid.com/pdf/media/mr031124-4tb.pdf

[ModerateMiddle]

1. Interesting

the only significant changes were Kerry and Lieberman. Perhaps the obituary for John Kerry was slightly premature.

[JaneQPublic]

4. Kerry has dropped 10 points since September

Under Q1b -- asked only of Dem primary or caucus participants.

I wouldn't count him out yet, either, but his polling is definitely going in the wrong direction.

[CMT]

2. nationally a tight race

between Dean, Clark, Gephardt, and Kerry but the national polls at this point are not as significant as polls from early key states imo.

[unfrigginreal]

3. What I thought was interesting

is that if you look at the trends since the 9/18 poll, they're all gaining support at about the same rate.

[wtmusic]

5. Yesterday's debate probably won't change numbers much

Disagree that Kerry or Gep looked as bad as some say.

Everyone looked scared and extremely careful. Even Brokaw was nervous--very odd.