UPI reports Kerry leads among minorities-CNN add "but by less than in2000"

[papau]

http://www.hispanicbusiness.com/news/newsbyid.asp?id=16969

John Kerry Continues to Lead the Pack Among Minorities

July 7, 2004 United Press International


WASHINGTON, -- Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts remains far ahead President Bush among U.S. minorities, a poll released Tuesday indicates.


Kerry led Bush 80 percent to 12 percent among black respondents and 56 percent to 37 percent among Hispanic respondents, a Gallup Poll found. Among the overall pool, Kerry led Bush by 1 point, 47 percent to 46 percent.


The results were little changed among the registered voters for each group.


Black and Hispanic respondents chose their candidate almost exactly along party lines. Eighty-two percent of blacks identified themselves as Democrats vs. 14 percent who said they were Republican, while 59 percent of Hispanics said they were Democrats and 33 percent said they were Republican. <snip>


And with CNN value added GOP spin!!!!!!!!


http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/07/06/gallup.poll/

Kerry leads among minority voters
Bush improving over 2000 election results
Tuesday, July 6, 2004 Posted: 8:59 PM EDT (0059 GMT)

(CNN) -- Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Sen. John Kerry holds wide leads over President Bush among black and Latino voters questioned, but Bush runs slightly stronger among minority voters than he did four years ago and has a double-digit lead among white voters, according to a new Gallup poll looking at racial contrasts in the presidential race.

The poll, released Tuesday, found that in a two-way race between Bush and Kerry, 53 percent of white registered voters supported Bush, while 41 percent supported Kerry.

Among black voters, Kerry led Bush 81 percent to 12 percent, and among Latinos, the Massachusetts senator led 57 percent to 38 percent.

Exit polls from the 2000 election showed that Bush received only 9 percent of the black vote, compared to 90 percent for Democrat Al Gore, and 35 percent of the Latino vote, compared to 62 percent for Gore.

So Kerry's lead over Bush among black voters in the new poll was about 12 points smaller than Gore's gap in 2000; among Latinos, it was 8 points smaller.

Four years ago, exit polls showed Bush carried 54 percent of the white vote, to just 42 percent for Gore -- a 12-point gap identical to what was found in the Gallup poll.<snip>

The poll of 2,250 adults were conducted June 9-30. Among all registered voters, the margin of error for questions about the political races was plus or minus 5.5 percentage points; among minority voters, it was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The question on job approval had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

[noahmijo]

1. Does anyone including *'s people think that he's gonna get

more than 6% of the black and hispanic vote?

[fertilizeonarbusto]

2. Cheney the CheneyNewsNetwork

nt

[eyesroll]

3. CNN is comparing apples to oranges

When you have actual votes, your totals add up to 100%.
90% Al Gore; 9% Bush; 1% other. You don't have "undecideds" when you have actual votes (you may have a statistically insignificant number of "none of the above" votes).

In 2004:
81% Kerry; 12% Bush -- the rest undecided (or unreported).

So, Shrub's got 12% this year and 9% last time -- and a 3.5% margin of error.

All this says is that there are more undecideds this year than in an election, where by definition, people have made up their mind. :eyes:

This would be much more valid if they compared July 2000 polls with current ones.

[papau]

4. good point :-)

:-)