Lots of people go through profound emotional upheavals, sometimes even clinical depression, when they first grasp the enormity of the existential crisis we're facing. This is made worse by the all-too-human tendency to keep probing a sore tooth with your tongue - you can become gripped by the overwhelming need to know the full shape and extent of the crisis. Ask me how I know...
I've written a couple of pieces about this on my web site. One is called
The Spiritual Effects of Comprehending the Global Crisis, and in it I compare the initial response to Kubler-Ross's five stages of grieving.
Ultimately, I found that a complete transformation of viewpoint was required to come to terms with the knowledge. Initially, in that article, I described it as a pantheistic spiritual breakthrough. Since then, I've come to understand that for me, at least, it was actually a spontaneous discovery of the principles of Deep Ecology. Recognizing the interconnectedness and intrinsic value of all life, and seeing humanity as simply one thread in a gigantic, self-regulating tapestry has given me a lot of comfort. Dropping the anthropocentrism and dualism that our civilization insists is the "correct" view has allowed me to become a lot more sanguine about the troubles we are facing.
Another realization that helped was, "We may be like yeast, but we're also like cockroaches." We are like yeast in that we reproduce and consume until our ecological niche is stripped of resources and poisoned by waste, then we die off. However, we are also like cockroaches, in that we are resourceful, adaptive and hardy, and you can't kill us all. There will always be people left, unless something really, really cataclysmic happens, and that's not in the cards at this point. so there will be fewer of us, and our lives will be harder. That's OK - there have usually been fewer of us, and until recently our lives were much harder indeed. foing back to our "natural state" isn't something to get too bent about. We may rebel against the idea, but as a species we'll just keep on going.
The third thing that gave me hope is something I describe in my article
Population Decline - Red Herrings and Hope (an article I'm still quite proud of, actually). In it I say:
Start from these three realizations:
1. The genetic imperatives that drive our reproduction, consumption and competition guarantee that we will not change our civilization's value set voluntarily or preemptively.
2. Humanity is like yeast. We reproduce and consume until our ecological niche is stripped of resources and poisoned by waste, then we die off.
3. Humanity is like cockroaches. We are resourceful, adaptive and hardy, and you can't kill us all.
These three facts mean that although we are heading for a bottleneck, some portion of humanity will survive to regroup and rebuild in a massively damaged, resource-poor world. On our way through the bottleneck we will lose much of our physical and social capital. The one and only good thing about this, from a species, biosphere and planetary perspective, is that the existing socioeconomic structures will be forcibly and involuntarily stripped away, leaving room for new structures to take their place.
The change in perspective involves not looking forward from our current situation into the decline. Rather, step forward a couple of hundred years and look back. what I believe you will see is the rebirth of the next cycle of civilization.
The question for me has become, "How do we ensure that the seeds are in place for a value set that will survive through and bloom after the bottleneck, a value set that will ensure that the next cycle of civilization has a chance at sustainability even in such a badly damaged, resource-poor world?" How will we ensure that our descendants will eventually inherit a sustainable world, even though our current situation is not sustainable by any stretch of the imagination?
I've become convinced over the last couple of months that the seeds for such a transformation have already been planted. They are even resilient enough to make it through the bottleneck, and they carry the correct values for the rebirth I suggest.
American activist Paul Hawken has just written a tremendously important book called "Blessed Unrest" in which he describes a set of one to two million local, independent, citizen-run environmental and social justice groups. These groups exist world-wide, and each is acting on local problems of its own choosing. There is no overarching ideology beyond "making the world a better place", there is no unifying organization, no white male vertebrate leader setting the agenda. As a result the movement is extremely resilient - no government action anywhere can shut it down, even though individual groups may be suppressed. These groups make up the largest (though unrecognized) social movement the world has ever seen. For a glimpse of some of these organizations, take a look at the web site WiserEarth.org.
Hawken sees this movement as part of humanity's immune system. While I like the metaphor and think it is exactly correct, I believe the importance of these groups is much greater than just their efforts to mitigate an unavoidable collapse. These groups have been called into existence by the world's dis-ease, and do two things: they work to fix local problems now (which will mitigate some local effects of the collapse), but more importantly they act as carriers for the values of cooperation, consensus, nurturing, recognition of interdependence, acceptance of limits, universal justice and the respect for other life. Those are precisely the values that a civilization will need to achieve stability and sustainability. To top it all off, many of these groups are led by women or espouse specifically matriarchal values, one attribute I see as essential for any sustainable civilization.
At the risk of sounding sentimental, I call these groups the antibodies in Gaia's bloodstream.
I am convinced we will not save this civilization, and will lose a large fraction of humanity in the process. But I'm equally convinced that thanks to the seeds that have already been planted in these groups we have a shot at a much better one in a couple of hundred years. The crucial change in perspective required to see the hope in this is to stop looking from here forward into the decline, and instead look backward from a position out two hundred years and imagine what it will take to rebuild a truly sustainable civilization from the ashes of this one. The values required are already embodied in a resilient organization, enough of whose elements will survive to transmit a sustainable value set into the ecologically damaged, resource-depleted world we will bequeath to the future.
So yes, there are ways of maintaining hope without denying the enormity of our circumstances or feeling like a Pollyanna fraud.
Best wishes for continued mental health :-)
Paul Chefurka