Didn't see any cost analysis for 10000 nuclear power plants on the other thread.
Energy (and food) self-sufficient all-electric solar homes built close to places of business/commerce, serviced by light electric transit would eliminate most - if not all - of residential demand for electricity, petroleum and natural gas.
How much energy would that eliminate or replace????
(clue - a bunch).
Super-insulated passive solar homes would have virtually no requirement for heating and very little requirements for air conditioning (site dependent).
Energy efficient solar homes cost ~15% more to build than nucular-powered energy-hog McMansions...
http://www.oja-services.nl/iea-pvps/cases/usa_04.htmThere are about 116 million homes in the US. A 4 kW PV array on each would provide a peak generating capacity of 464 GW. Supplying 2 kW wind turbines to each home would add an additional peak generating capacity of 232 GW, for a total of 696 GW.
The cost??
Assuming $1 per peak watt (economy of scale price - current price $3 per peak watt) supplying 116 million 'Merican homes with a 4 kW PV array would cost ~$0.46 trillion - an order of magnitude less than the cost of nucular power. Of course, the nucular figure doesn't take in account the cost of fuel, spent fuel disposal, transmission etc..
At $2000 per 2 kW wind turbine (current retail price), this would cost another $0.232 trillion.
The hydrogen fuel cell storage systems would manage household electrical generation and demand loads without the need for external power plants. The cost??? At $2000 per 2 kilowatt fuel cell system (all that would be needed for an efficient all-electric home) that would cost another $0.232 trillion.
Note: 7 kW residential fuel cells currently cost between $4-7500...
http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qa3718/is_199904/ai_n8850940Total cost of residential PV/wind/fuel cells = ~$0.9 trillion or substantially less than the nucular option.
As these homes would have very modest electrical requirements (1000 kWh per year for an EnergyStar fridge and freezer, 200 kWh per year for CF lighting and ~3000 kWh per year for electric cooking: total = ~4200 kwh), a 4 kW PV system and a 2 kW wind turbine would produce more than enough electricity per household (conservatively 10,000 kwh per year). Everything else would go to the grid.
How much juice to run a trolley system? The (really) extensive trolley systems of the early 20th Century were very efficient and convenient. A typical "electric car" was powered be a 30 kW(e) DC motor and had a top speed of 50 mph. Replacing the 200 million existing US autos with 2 million 50 kW(e) trolleys would require 100 GW of peak generating capacity. Existing US hydroelectric capacity (~103 GW) could supply all this electricity today.
How much energy to run the commercial/industrial sector? Who knows. In a post-petroleum world there won't be an auto, trucking or airline industry. Low-medium industrial heat could be supplied by parabolic trough arrays backed up by distributed electrical generators on the grid. These industries would be located in the American Southwest.
How much hemp to supply biomass chemical feedstock, heat and electricity?? One hectare per US home (~116 million hectares) would require ~30% of existing US agricultural land (385 million hectares).
The soft-path option is cheaper and provides a higher level of creature comfort than the nucular hard path - any way you cut it.