The ice up in the Arctic Ocean just looks terrible, and I was wondering if it's been looking that bad in the summer for a while now.
Short answer: no.
Even in September of last year, when the ice was at its annual minimum, the ice appeared to be mostly solid, whereas today it's not a cap, it's just a collection of floes. The "best" area I could find is near the pole, and it's clearly shearing apart in real time.
The ice has officially gone off the cliff. Like the hapless coyote in the cartoons, it might take a while for it to start dropping, but (to shift metaphors in mid-stream) this bell can't be un-rung.
Re-consolidation will be a long, slow process this winter, and next year's going to be even worse.
July 16, 2009:
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?subset=Arctic_r04c03.2009197.terra.1kmJuly 16, 2010:
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?subset=Arctic_r04c03.2010197.terra.1kmYes, there were some leads developing last July, but it doesn't look like white pebbles on a black-sand beach.
September 16, 2009:
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?subset=Arctic_r04c03.2009259.terra.1kmEven in September of last year there were large leads, but the cap as a whole appeared to be mostly cohesive.
And lest I be accused of cherry-picking the images, here's the whole basin last September and today:
http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?mosaic=Arctic.2009259.terra.4kmhttp://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets/?mosaic=Arctic.2010197.terra.4km(Protip: You can zoom into the image of the whole basin, and if you then click on "250m" near the top you can get a VERY zoomed-in look.)