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Herschel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 02:22 PM
Original message
Palestinian survey shows few refugees would return to Israel
Edited on Sun Jul-13-03 02:33 PM by Herschel
http://www.kron4.com/Global/story.asp?S=1358503

"A poll by a Palestinian think tank is challenging some perceptions in the Middle East.

It even sparked a small riot today in the West Bank.

The survey found only ten percent of Palestinians who lost their homes in what is now Israel would want to return if allowed.

The Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research questioned 45-hundred people living in the West Bank, Gaza Strip, Jordan and Lebanon."

This may help eliminate the issue.
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patdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 02:40 PM
Response to Original message
1. I would need a link to the website
of this Think Tank and see who funds is? Otherwise it is meaningless to me! :shrug:
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
2. Another article
The Ha'aretz also has an article on this survey. More details are given about the implications, etc.

http://www.haaretzdaily.com/hasen/spages/317497.html
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quilp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 03:23 PM
Response to Original message
3. What "issue" is eliminated"?
Were they asked if they would like to return to Palestine?
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Herschel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 04:55 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. We should be honest
The right of return will not happen. It is a barrier to peace. The Palestinians will begin to ease their own suffering when they realize this. This survey is encouraging.
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quilp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 07:08 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. The "barrier to peace" is the settlements. And you know it.
Just how many concessions are the Palestinians supposed to make? The survey may be "encouraging' to those illegal settlers who have stolen Palestinian land, but I don't know who else. But you are right. The Palestinians will "ease their OWN (?) suffering", when they capitulate to every Israeli demand. I assume by your twisted logic this "suffering" is self imposed. The Israeli choice to the Palestians is simple. Die like dogs or live like pigs.
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Herschel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 07:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Listen again
The settlements will not all be dismantled. The 1967 borders will not happen. It is a thing of the past, a fantasy, with the right of return. The Palestinians need not capitulate to every Israeli demand. But they certainly must destroy their terrorist organizations. No serious discussion for peace can begin until this happens. Until then, yes, I say their suffering is quite a bit self imposed.
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Darranar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 07:40 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Basically...
I agree. My question for you is, however, which settlements would you keep under Israeli control? I'd put the ones in East Jerusalem under Israeli control, and perhaps one or two near major Jewish holy sites in the West Bank, to ensure easy access.
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quilp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 07:49 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. "Easy accsess for who? The Israeli army?
According to the Israelis the entire country is a "holy site".
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Darranar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 10:05 PM
Response to Reply #10
23. No...
for civilians who wish to pray there. I do not consider the entire country a Jewish holy site, and I know Israelis who don't, either. I am speaking of such places as Joseph's tomb and the burial places of the patriarchs.
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quilp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 07:46 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. White masters said exactly the same as they whipped black slaves!
If only these people would accept their situation they wouldn't have to bear all this suffering.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 11:05 PM
Response to Reply #9
25. Why don't..
the Israelis realize that the deaths they occur at the hands of terrorists are irrlevant? Think of the 6 million killed by the Nazis. Where is the comparison?

A Palestinian asks his former Jewish employer to lend him money. The employer gives him the loan, but gets attacked in return. That is exactly like blacks in slavery. Why don't the Jews ever learn?

:shrug:
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 04:19 AM
Response to Reply #9
49. Talk to
the creator. It's the same for everyone. Even Nervana has it's pitfalls.
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Tinoire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 12:19 AM
Response to Reply #6
11. Thanks. Couldn't have said it better! n/t
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ex_jew Donating Member (627 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 10:42 PM
Response to Reply #11
24. Why don't the Iraqis get the same message ?
Resistance is futile ! Powerful white people have come to take your land.

Israel may be riding high now, but its patron the US is running a $400 billion dollar deficit (not counting $50 billion for the war in Iraq). At some point, Israel might be cut loose, and find itself facing 1 billion Muslims all alone. Then see who decides exactly how much of their land the Palestinians will be given.

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cantwealljustgetalong Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 11:10 PM
Response to Reply #24
26. At some point...
won't you be one happy ex_jew when that happens...

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Muddleoftheroad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 09:38 AM
Response to Reply #24
29. Israel would win
But the results would be FAR bloodier. By keeping Israel safe, the U.S. also prevents the Muslim powers from taking on Israel and launching us into a world war.
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Violet_Crumble Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-20-03 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #29
45. World war? Muslim powers?
Why do I feel like I'm reading something spawned by 'The Clash of Civilizations'? Just who exactly are these Muslim powers? If yr talking about secular states where the majority are Muslim, why do you refer to them as Muslim powers? That'd be the same as referring to the US, Israel, Britain etc as Judeo-Christian powers...

Personally I doubt very much that an attack on Israel by any power would launch the world into a war of global proportions. Probably during the Cold War, Israeli-Arab clashes had the potential to spark a global war between the two super-powers, but not now. I'm just not seeing how it would escalate....

Violet...
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CitizenDick Donating Member (127 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 06:46 AM
Response to Reply #29
51. "Prevents Muslim powers from taking on Israel"
Again, why is the ethnicity important? Should Middle East states be concerned about "Jewish powers"?
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Feanorcurufinwe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 02:54 PM
Response to Reply #5
34. I think you have drawn the wrong conclusion
from the survey. Why not look at this survey and say: Israel COULD allow the right of return. If 10% instead of 70% of Palestinians would exercise it, doesn't that mean it would be easier to accomplish? What's wrong with the idea of having Palestinians living in Israel with equal rights?
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Muddleoftheroad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 05:46 PM
Response to Reply #34
35. No nation
Will allow itself to have hundreds of thousands of potentially VERY unhappy citizens foisted on it.

What this survey says, if true, that the number of hardliners in the Palestinian camp is small, but not small enough.
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-13-03 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
4. If true
That is fairly positive. Other surveys show different results however. As I've said before, they are essentially meaningless until the actual choices are formally proposed to the refugees.

I've always suspected a final figure would be roughly in that ballpark though, despite the rhetoric from both Israel and the PA.

All the more reason not to let the preconditon of "no right of return" block diplomatic talks.
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Muddleoftheroad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #4
12. Palestinians
It is the Palestinians who are obsessing about the right of return and using that fantasy to block permanent peace. Even if only 10% expect to return to Israel, that is 10% more than will happen.

The Palestinians don't have a state and require Israel's help both in forming one and in helping it grow. That means they need to be willing to negotiate. Israel has repeatedly said it won't discuss that issue.
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 01:08 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. Right
Edited on Mon Jul-14-03 01:09 AM by tinnypriv
It is the Israeli's who are obsessing about the right to settle in the land of Eretz Israel, and using that fantasy to block permanent peace. Even if only 10% expect to stay in the West Bank, that is 10% too many.

The Israeli's have a state but it isn't secure, and require the help of the Palestinians to prevent terrorist attacks. That means they need to be willing to negotiate. The Palestinians have repeatedly said they won't discuss the issue of any settlements remaining.


...

Oh, and they don't need Israel's help. What they do need is for Israel to get out. Furthermore, they are willing to negotiate, and have been since the mid-70's. There has been no partner on the Israeli (and U.S.) side, and there never would have been had it not been for the sheer weight of violence which forced the Palestinians to capitulate and sign Oslo. Just look at the diplomatic record.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 03:25 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. No peace partner
There has been no partner on the Israeli (and U.S.) side, and there never would have been had it not been for the sheer weight of violence which forced the Palestinians to capitulate and sign Oslo. Just look at the diplomatic record.

Let's just look at Palestinian websites to get the answers (diplomatic records). Then reverse the blame, and you get the right answers. \sarcasm

Arafat has been unwilling to negotiate since Oslo. The violence has been perpetrated by the Palestinian terror groups before Oslo. There has been no cessation in Palestinian terror. Look at the records.



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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #15
17. Right
Did you know Israel killed more people in the invasion of Lebanon than all civilians killed in Israel by terrorist attacks and warfare?

Kind of irrelevent, right?
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 02:14 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. Not true
Edited on Mon Jul-14-03 02:16 PM by Gimel
The 18 year war inflicted heavy casualties on both sides. However, the Lebanese Christian Phalangist militia was responsible for the massacres that occurred at the two Beirut-area refugee camps on September 16­-17, 1982. This is where most of the casualties you are no doubt referring to occured. Israel or the IDF did not kill them.

There was actually a civil war going on in Lebanon, and Israel was drawn into that. Syria sent forces into Lebanon, in fact, it was the Syrian sponsored attack on the U.S. military camps in Beirut in October 1983, killing 241 marines.

Kind of irrelevent, right?

And what are you calling irrelivant?
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. "Heavy casualties on both sides"
Definition = One Israeli punitive air raid on a civilian target kills more people (200+) in one hour than 15 years of PLO cross-border attacks. That pretty much sums up the entire thing.

Israel casualties = a few hundred (more wounded, including military).

Lebanese = 22,000+ (overwhelmingly civilians)

Palestinians = Nobody was counting. Surely the high thousands.

Israeli casulties in war and peace from 1947 - 1982? Roughly 20,000.

Count it up.

That is what you plainly consider irrelevent.

Furthermore, there is no (credible) evidence that the U.S. marine attack was Syrian sponsored and in no way could it be considered terrorism regardless.

I'm not interested in going through Israel's shameful record of slanderous lies regarding Shabra-Shatila, nor its complicity in the massacres.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 09:46 PM
Response to Reply #19
21. Plainly irrelevant
Edited on Mon Jul-14-03 09:59 PM by Gimel
You've clearly shown your crass attitude. Deaths are not irrelevant, Israeli or Palestinian. Your statements lack credibility. You have given no sources to back them up.

I did not say I considered the deaths irrelevant. Your accusations are baseless.

You claim that Israel (excuse me Sharon) is the cause of the conflicts, and then try to discount Israeli military intelligence. Obviously, there is much more about the history and the nature of the conflicts than you comprehend or acknowledge.

While your first claim was deaths in Lebanon v. Israeli deaths in the Intifada and now you are comparing the deaths in Lebanon to "Israeli casulties in war and peace from 1947 - 1982? Roughly 20,000". Incredible. All casualties in war and peace? Rather a broad claim. Of course the Lebanese population is much larger and the land mass much larger than Israel's.

You are trying to mix figures that have no relevance and no correlation, and give no reference for them in the first place. These claims are irrelevant.


453 Israelis killed and 2,344 injured in terrorist attacks during 2002
http://www.idf.il/newsite/english/0104-1.stm

That is a total of 2,797 civilian casualties in one year alone. Kind of staggering isn't it?

Look at the attacks from the north in one year - 1998
http://www.idf.il/english/statistics/chrono1.stm
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 06:49 AM
Response to Reply #21
28. LOL
I don't footnote every post.

Every word of the above was accurate. Look it up. If you want the (mostly Israeli) sources, ask.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 12:28 AM
Response to Reply #28
37. substantiation
Edited on Wed Jul-16-03 12:29 AM by Gimel
I try to substantiate my own claims, especially when quoting figures. I know I could look it up, but that's your responsibility to verify your words. I'm not really doubting the number of Lebanese deaths, I am doubting that "Israel killed" that number. If I wanted to actually insist on accountability, I would also suggest that claiming that Israel, or all Israelis therefore bear the responsibility for pulling the trigger on this number of Lebanese civilians, or causing the deaths of this number is a "sweeping generalization".
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 07:26 AM
Response to Reply #37
38. Okay, here's the footnotes
Edited on Wed Jul-16-03 07:34 AM by tinnypriv
<< Definition = One Israeli punitive air raid on a civilian target kills more people (200+) in one hour than 15 years of PLO cross-border attacks. That pretty much sums up the entire thing. >>

Source: That punitive air raid I'm talking about was a bombing raid on the Sabra and Shatila camps in June 1982, during which the local hospital was hit. "Over 200 people" were killed, according to Cheryl Rubenburg - an American eyewitness at the scene. She stated those figures in the respected Journal of Palestine Studies, Fall 1982 issue.

The official Israeli army figure (from the IDF spokesman) for civilians killed from 1967-1982 in PLO attacks across the border from Lebanon is 106. See Ha'aretz, June 22, 1982 (where the figures are quoted).

<< Israel casualties = a few hundred (more wounded, including military). >>

Source: 306 Israeli soldiers were killed, roughly 2x wounded (official IDF figures for the period 1982-1985).

<< Lebanese = 22,000+ (overwhelmingly civilians) >>

Source: 17,825 killed just between June 4 to the end of the September (The Times, London, Oct 5, 1982) - "as a result of Israeli action". The figures were collated via a detailed investigation of figures from the Lebanese police, the international Red Cross, counting hospital figures etc.

<< Palestinians = Nobody was counting. Surely the high thousands. >>

Source: Obviously this isn't in dispute.

<< Israeli casulties in war and peace from 1947 - 1982? Roughly 20,000 >>

Source: Yom Hazikaron Lechalelei Ma'arachot Yisrael, Union of Orthodox Jewish Congregations of America. "The total number of soldiers and security personnel who fell since 1948 is 19,914" (online: http://www.ou.org/yerushalayim/yomhazikaron/default.htm)
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 07:51 AM
Response to Reply #38
40. A few hundred
No nation allows a neighbor to attack it's citizens at will. A few hundred deaths and many more injuries is significant. If England were attacked in such a manner would you call it "insignificant"?

The factions in Lebanon that were attacking Israel started the war. Syria has had political and military control over Lebanon for more than 30 years. It is a known fact.

The Syrian army first entered Lebanon in the
fall of 1976 to stop Lebanese Muslims and
leftists backed by Palestinian guerrillas from
defeating the Christians in the initial stages
of Lebanon's 15-year civil war.


http://www.haaretzdaily.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml?itemNo=318674&sw=Syria

The number of Israeli civilian casualties in one year (2002) approaces 3,000. Continue to call it insignificant?
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 08:15 AM
Response to Reply #40
41. We've been through this before
The ceasefire was HELD on the northern front, by the PLO and Lebanese/Syria. It was VIOLATED by Israel many times. That is simply a fact.

What isn't a fact is my interpretation: namely, that this was done in order to illicit a "provocation" which could be used as a justification for the already long-planned invasion. Argue with that interpretation all you like, but you cannot question the fact that Israel violated the ceasefire, because it is a historical truth. Just look it up.

Further, I never even used the word "insignificant", so I won't bother addressing that point for the trivially obvious reason that there is nothing to be gained by debating whatever you happen to invent and attribute to me.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 02:31 PM
Response to Reply #41
42. Which cease-fire?
OK, I went through this on another thread long ago with you or another poster. Not the same argument, but about the cease-fire, that in fact never was. There was no cease-fire. In the end, Israel pulled out unilaterally "on the northern front".

If you are referring to a PLO-Lebanese/Syria cease-fire, then what does it have to do with Israel? Israel chased Arafat all the way to Beirut. He was rescued as an international humanitarian effort.

In the summer of 1982, the Israeli army launched a massive military incursion into Lebanon.

Operation "Peace for Galilee" was intended to wipe out Palestinian guerrilla bases near Israel's northern border - but as defence minister, Ariel Sharon pushed all the way to Beirut and expelled the PLO from the country.

"In Lebanon, there was an agreement not to liquidate Yasser Arafat," Mr Sharon said.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/1793304.stm

Arafat's record includes murder of Americans and involvement in the attack on US Marines in Lebanon (murder of 241 US Marines):
http://www.likud.nl/extr70.html

Here is a complete chronology of the events in Lebanon since 1964.
http://focusonjerusalem.com/lebanon.html

The site seems to be a Christian prophesy group, but the chronology is accurate.
Esample:

SEPT. 1982. . . ISRAELI ARMIES CORNER ARAFAT AND ABOUT 10,000 PALESTINIAN GUERRILLAS INSIDE OF BEIRUT, LEBANON. UNITED NATIONS DEMANDS CEASE FIRE. "UNITED STATES" RESCUES ARAFAT AND RELOCATES HIM TO LIBYA.



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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 03:25 PM
Response to Reply #42
43. Habib ceasefire
Look it up.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 03:59 AM
Response to Reply #43
47. Habib cease-fire
As we went over this before, it seems redundant to do so again. The Habib cease-fire was only initialed, and was aborted. It never was implemented. Look it up.
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 10:18 AM
Response to Reply #47
52. Riiight
:crazy:

I think anybody literate can find out the facts for themselves.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 04:08 AM
Response to Reply #41
48. Perhaps
Insignificant is not telling the whole story. Irrelevant is much better.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 05:30 AM
Response to Reply #28
50. IDF reports
From the Israeli statistics, 20,532 IDF Soldiers lost their lives from the founding of the state through 1999. That doesn't include civilian deaths. Since the beginning of the current Intifada (your actual comparison point) there have been 816 civilian and IDF deaths.

In Lebanon 13 IDF soldiers were killed in 1999 as opposed to 23 in the previous year, and the number of soldiers wounded in Lebanon dropped from 110 in 1998 to 57. This number of soldiers killed is at its lowest since 1992. A significant change in IDF tactics in 1999 was the increase in the number of air strikes against terrorist targets in south Lebanon - this year witnessed a near threefold increase in the number of air attacks when compared with the previous year.

The most serious flare-up on the northern border was the Katyusha rocket attack by the Hizbullah on Kiryat Shmona and Upper Galilee communities in June. Some 60 Katyushas were fired into Israel, killing two civilians and wounding nine. The IAF (Israel Air Force) responded with attacks on Lebanon's infrastructure, including the destruction of power stations in the Beirut area. No Katyushas have been fired toward Israeli territory since (there were two incidents of fire toward border outposts that crossed into Israeli territory).

http://www.idf.il/english/statistics/security.stm

From Sept 13, 1993 until September 2000, 256 Israeli civilians and soldiers have been killed in terror attacks in Israel. Add the 816 killed since Sept 2000 and you have 1,072 souls murdered by terrorists since 1993. From Dec 1987 until Sept 1993 (the first Intifada) 172 people were murdered by terrorists.
http://www.us-israel.org/jsource/Terrorism/terrchart.html

There is no point in comparing numbers between the nations. Lebanon was occupied by many terrorist groups and factions. To implicate Israel in deaths during the 18 year civil war (Israel withdrew to the southern buffer zone in 1885) is simply unfounded.
http://www.terrorismanswers.com/havens/lebanon.html

Peace can not be assumed based on lack of deaths alone. Terrorist incidents continued to plague Israel through the 1990's.

http://www.mfa.gov.il/mfa/go.asp?MFAH0cdb0

http://www.mfa.gov.il/mfa/go.asp?MFAH0cd50
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quilp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 09:40 PM
Response to Reply #18
20. And Hitler never killed a single Jew!
As far as we know anyway. That massacre was facilitated by the Israelis and you know it. And it happened after those people were promised protection by the UN. It was without doubt one the most depicable Israeli acts, and UN failures in history. If you are going to maintain any credibility you've got to be more honest that that!!!!
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 09:51 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Not my claim
The claim was initiated by Mr. Tony, not by me. He is trying to claim that Israeli deaths in the current conflict with the Palestinians is irrelevant. I dispute that, as do Amnesty International and HRW.

It's a question of morality, not numbers.
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quilp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 10:24 AM
Response to Reply #22
30. Oh! " If it's a question of morality" we must naturally defer to Jews.
They have the monopoly.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 12:21 AM
Response to Reply #30
36. a quote
I don't know who you are quoting, but certainly he is entitled to his opinion.
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jul-16-03 07:35 AM
Response to Reply #20
39. Object
"facilitated by the Israelis and you know it"

You are taking liberties with this statement. In fact, I doubt that you "know it".
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Aidoneus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jul-20-03 04:55 AM
Response to Reply #18
44. sigh, a specialist in falsehood..
Edited on Sun Jul-20-03 05:17 AM by Aidoneus
It is bizarre, and more importantly, untrue, to say that the camp massacres--(occurring, of course, only under the watchful eye of the Israeli army which surrounded the the camps, controlled the region and allowed the Falange gangs in, dropping in flares during periods of darkness, etc)--were "...most of the casualties you are no doubt referring to...". The frankest ignorance on the subject is here revealed, and for that I appreciate that the task of correcting that being made easier by such strident absurdity.

There was indeed a civil war, simmering since the first outbreak in the late 1950s and again flaring up into open conflict in the mid 1970s, drawing in a cast of a half dozen foreign forces in addition to the several dozen armed militias and the wide range of ideological factions fighting for power. If I were to try and describe it in as few words as possible, I would suggest instead of words to turn on a professional wrestling program and look for something called a "Royal Rumble"--such would be the closest analogy I can think of.

Nonetheless, Israel had chosen sides (and later, the US government under the criminal regime of that notorious mass-murderer Ronald Reagan did so as well in a similar fashion, though desceptively at first), and involved itself in the most brutal of ways in vigorous armed combat against the Lebanese and Palestinian people opposing its Maronite/Falangist ally (and later the SLA proxy gangs), deliberately terrorizing civilians as a matter of policy. I'll try to keep myself brief and point out the fact that it was far more than the Beirut camp massacres that the Israeli invaders and bombers were involved in, but rather the large-scale and deliberate targetting of Lebanese civilians on multiple occasions with the naturally disasterous effect. They also trained proxy forces on occasion to carry out combat and kidnappings in the absence of the Israeli army, such as Major Haddad's murderous gang in the first invasion in the late 70s(*note*), the Christian militas at the start of the '82 invasion, and later the notorious South Lebanon Army of General Antoine Lehad for years after in the course of the illegal occupation of South Lebanon.
*note*--(which was not, as I think you previously claimed to me, prompted by a bombing of a Israeli bus by Hezbollah, as I pointed out at the time this claim is absurd for--a) they do not blow up busses, b) THEY DIDN'T EXIST AT THE TIME, c) it would have to be cloned in order to be more false)

To randomly bring up the barracks bombing is also bizarre and perhaps opportunistic, but in the typical style of the remainder here. Before getting into it myself (the subject of a later post perhaps), I will first ask you what you know of it? Preferably in your own words, if I wanted to read a link from some specialist website on this (and I have a good idea what sites it would be taken from) I would have clicked on it by now, probably already have.

Also, are you aware of the nature of the US involvement there? I'm aware that it is often in my own nature to focus on the negative, and in the interests of avoiding that I will say that it was indeed not all bad; good deeds were done such as mine clearing and the setting up of checkpoints where people didn't have to pay a tax to some warlord, etc. Alongside this facade of philanthropy was aggressive involvement in combat for the benefit of the enemies of those who would later bomb the US forces back. Navy ships offshore were known to have shelled Lebanese positions and civilians (with regard to one of the acts of "terrorism" ascribed to Hezbollah that you mentioned before, one of the hijackers of the TWA flight had his family murdered by the USS New Jersey before this); material and logistical support were given to the Israelis and their Lebanese allies (Israel was, after all, dropping American bombs out of American helicopters and planes that were manned by Israeli pilots).
Later in '85, the American CIA(*note*), funded by Saudi royals' money and logistics provided by allies on the ground, would carry out what is usually referred to as a "terrorist" attack:--a massive car bomb in a civilian area attempting to assassinate one of the leaders it suspected was actively opposed to US/Israeli/Maronite domination of Lebanon, Mohammed Hussein Fadlallah. The bomb failed to murder its target and instead harmed large numbers of civilians (some 80 dead and much more than that wounded, some 40 of the dead being young girls from their school across the street from the targetted office).
*note*--(many theories exist as to who did what, whether it was a "rogue" operation or directed by Reagan himself, carried out by the Falange, some locals looking for money, a freelance British specialist, financed by Saudi money or the Agency itself, etc, etc, etc..)

The point I essentially am making is that when one is engaging in armed combat and support against one side in a war, one should not then be surprised when they hit back. The purple prose surrounding the so-called "discussion" of that event (and the wider conflict itself) is typically the one-sided focus and decontextualized approach, and this is really just useless if the intent is any serious attempt to get an idea of the whats/whys of the matter and the context it occured in.

As far as a comparison of casualties from the two sides (itself a macabre exercise that I should scold myself for later), there are a few figures I am aware of that I can offer here, and I am hoping on sone other figures from the Israeli side to be offered up in response, for I won't focus much on them except as a comparison.

Much is made of Hezbollah's katyushah rocketing of northern Israel, particularly as a justification of the past Israeli occupation of south Lebanon and the mass targetting of Lebanese citizenry employed in the task of maintaining this occupation. But look at the numbers; in a 13yr period, '83->'96, katyushah rockets from the Islamic Resistance (Hezbollah's militant arm in league with other Lebanese national liberation parties) shot into Israel caused the deaths of 15 Israelis. That's a two-digit number, and I believe a bit less than half of that were soldiers. In the 90s, these rocketings were primarily retaliatory gestures Israeli targetting of civilians north of the so-called "Security Zone" (I say 'gestures' rathern than 'attacks' or such because these were not "effective", if such a word may be used, in any field but psychological effect). In the same time period thousands of Lebanese civilians were killed and hundreds of thousands of refugees created on multiple occasions by Israeli air and artillery bombings of cities and villages. But it is often the case that even a bit of balanced perspective is too much to ask..

While I do oppose the Syrian intervention in Lebanese affairs and its continued hegemony on principle, it did ultimately contribute to the end of the enormously destructive civil war and credit should be given where it is due in addition to whatever else. I have found that many who bring this up make hypocrites of themselves, for on the side they then support US interventions around the world that most often do not produce a similar beneficial result (if illegitimately gained all the same), or within this conflict alone also will justify the Israeli intervention.

As for this sentence of yours from a later post:--
...Of course the Lebanese population is much larger and the land mass much larger than Israel's...

Again, not even remotely true. A couple statistics, though I should prefix them--granted that we're speaking of 1980s & 90s, the proportions existant in the 2000 population census I will refer to should be more or less the same.
Lebanon's population as of a July 2000 census:--3,578,036, and it has a total land mass of 10,230 sq km.
Israel's population--5,842,454, and a land mass of 20,330 sq km.

In other words, not only are you incorrect, but incorrect to the point that the reverse is true almost twice over in both cases.

It is late and I did not put much effort into organizing this reply, nor did I at all curb my often harsh tone. On the positive side I appear to have addressed the main posts of yours in this thread, though I probably left something out. Hopefully I receive a reply to them this time (I did not receive one from you in my other posts on the subject of Israel & Lebanon in a thread or two from DU1).. at least I think it was you that I replied to in a thread about this before, though to be more realistic it was more like just talking to myself..
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-21-03 03:28 AM
Response to Reply #44
46. Correction
Edited on Mon Jul-21-03 04:14 AM by Gimel
The land area is greater in the case of Israel. I stand in error, and should have checked the facts before posting. However, your lengthy response contains many points which are disputed. There is no intent for falsehood on my part.

The bombing of the US Marines by the Hizbulla is seen in the history of terrorism as a great success. As bin Laden was studying the art at that time, and according to Time Magazine articles, was in fact a student of Hizbulla. He went on to bomb the US embassies in Africa and the USSCole, etc.

I am not particularly well versed on the political aspects of the Israeli war in Lebanon. There is no attempt to equate casualties, only I might add that the shellings of Israel's northern boarder settlements, including the sizable town of Kiryat Shemona, are just one of the justifications for the invasion. There was an attack on a civilian bus a few months earlier, near the northern boarder, which was attributed to Arafat and the PLO. Also the attempted assassination of an Israeli diplomat in London, which although didn't kill him, left him severely disabled for life.

(On edit: to add more specific information on the bombing of an Israeli bus by the PLO: MARCH 1978. . . ARAFAT'S "FATAH" GUERRILLAS ATTACK BUS IN TEL AVIV, ISRAEL KILLING 35 PEOPLE. THREE DAYS LATER IDF FORCES PURSUE PLO TERRORISTS INTO SOUHERN LEBANON. ( UNITED NATIONS PASSES RESOLUTION 425 )http://focusonjerusalem.com/lebanon.html)



The shellings of the streets in K. Shemona resulted in residents living in bomb shelters for long stretches. Each house there is built with a reinforced windowless room to serve as a shelter. Life under those conditions is not normal. It is not as though one or two katushas fell in open fields. The city was in fact under siege. Sure, the residents sought shelter. Thank G-d there were no more casualties. Can a nation which frequently attacks its neighbor in this way be tolerated?

The many hijackings of El Al flights and attempted hijackings in the '60s and 70's, mostly by Palestinians and PLO terrorists are reported here:

http://www.us-israel.org/jsource/Terrorism/incidents.html

The PLO was the major antagonist for the Israelis in Lebanon. The Falangists, and SLA were to an extent allies.

I have no personal information on the bombings. I was a new-comer in the early '80's.

A couple statistics, though I should prefix them--granted that we're speaking of 1980s & 90s, the proportions existent in the 2000 population census I will refer to should be more or less the same.
Lebanon's population as of a July 2000 census:--3,578,036, and it has a total land mass of 10,230 sq km.
Israel's population--5,842,454, and a land mass of 20,330 sq km.


There is most likely a large change in the population statistics from 1982 until 2000. There was a major influx of immigrants during the 90's. Immigration to Israel, 1 million from the former Soviet Union and half that from Ethiopia. What with the thousands of deaths during the war years in Lebanon and the emigration that resulted, The two population statistics have diverged, although I didn't find the numbers for Lebanon. The Israeli Jewish population stood at about 5 million in the early 80's.

http://www.us-israel.org/jsource/Immigration/Immigration_Since_1948.html

Also, for Israel's involvment in Lebanon- 1982-1985:

1982-1985: IDF Deployment in Lebanon
This period is characterized by Israeli attempts to achieve an overall arrangement on the northern border by threatening the vital areas in the strategic Syrian rear space, in the passes sector. It had been hoped that the Peace for Galilee War would result in a peace agreement between Israel and Lebanon (and in fact an abortive short-lived Peace Treaty was initialed). However, hopes in this respect were premature. The IDF, despite its achievements in the Peace for Galilee War (which included the destruction of the PLO infrastructure) found itself bogged down in the quagmire of Lebanon. The Lebanese Government was unable to assert its authority and anarchy prevailed with over a dozen armed militias (among them Druze and Christian Forces Libanaises) fighting each other. The IDF consequently withdrew its forces from the region of Beirut (in September 1983), redeploying to a line from the Awali river (north of Sidon) downwards. The IDF faced ever-increasing guerrilla and insurgent activities, at the start by the Palestinians, and later by the Shiites in south Lebanon, who established the Amal and Hizbullah organizations. The activities of these organizations increased, particularly in the last year of the IDF's deployment in Lebanon, and were characterized by a number of suicide bombings which inflicted mass casualties, such as the attack in Sidon and on the US Marines and French Army headquarters in Beirut (October 1983). During this period, there were approximately 1,350 attacks in Lebanon against the IDF (an average of 450 per year), in which a total of 306 Israeli soldiers were killed. However, Israel's northern villages lived in peace, without a single casualty or significant attack. Given the anarchy and the inability to conclude peace in Lebanon, the IDF finally withdrew from Lebanon in June 1985, supporting a 3-15 kilometer-wide Security Zone in South Lebanon contiguous to Israel. In this zone the Lebanese General Antoine Lahad commands the Southern Lebanese Army (SLA) comprised of Lebanese Christian and Shiite troops.


http://www.idf.il/english/history/postcon.stm
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Aidoneus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-03 04:04 PM
Response to Reply #46
53. I didn't forget about this
Edited on Thu Jul-31-03 04:32 PM by Aidoneus
I just, um.. no, actually I did forget. No matter, there is much here to discuss. Thanks for replying this time, even though my posts in this thread are not as good as my posts in that DU1-thread that went unanswered.

The bombing of the US Marines by the Hizbulla is seen in the history of terrorism as a great success.

Success I'll not dispute, but 'terrorism'? How so? The target, means, goals, and execution of that were all military. Does it have to do with the different flags?

Superficialities aside, there is a great deal of difference between the events in Lebanon and the Kenya/Tanzania massacres. Except through extremely hyperbolic reasoning, the United States was not carrying out acts of warfare against Kenya and Tanzania, as it was in Lebanon in the 80s. To the best of my knowledge the operations were not carried out by Kenyans and Tanzanians to protest some unwanted aggressive involvement, etc etc. The African embassy bombings were simply a massacre directed at targets of opportunity; had that been a US military base I might classify it differently, but it wasn't--even the victims were mostly Africans and not Americans. To compare them with the events in Lebanon previous to that is the place of propagandists preying on the easily manipulated and hasn't a place in serious discussion (though I feel myself no authoritarian arbiter on what counts for "serious discussion" or not).

I am not particularly well versed on the political aspects of the Israeli war in Lebanon.

Luckily for us, I consider myself to be somewhat versed. There is much I am still confused about, though it is not through a lack of effort; trying to follow the byzantine politics of the period takes genius or insanity.

There is no attempt to equate casualties

That is understandable, for any attempt to do so looks quite bad for the Israeli military..

...only I might add that the shellings of Israel's northern boarder settlements, including the sizable town of Kiryat Shemona, are just one of the justifications for the invasion.

That is true to a point, but it should be understand that there were reciprocal events between IDF-IAF/PLO in the period, the rockets weren't just flying from one direction. At any rate, as you were corrected above, the ceasefire on tbe northern Israeli border had been held by the PLO up to '82, despite a few provocations by the other side into Lebanon in the same time period.

According to this citation,
... 'I think the Israeli government's decision (or to be more exact its two leaders' decision) resulted from the fact that the ceasefire had held…Yasser Arafat had succeeded in doing the impossible. He managed an indirect agreement, through American mediation, with Israel and even managed to keep it for a whole year…This was a disaster for Israel. If the PLO agreed upon and maintained a ceasefire they may in the future agree to a more far-reaching political settlement and maintain that too.' (Ha'aretz, 25 June 1982)...

Ultimately, if the official version is to be believed (something I would not ordinarily recommend, but bear with me here..), it was an assassination by the Abu Nidal group that prompted the invasion of Lebanon. A few obvious points should be pointed out:--the Abu Nidal group was not connected or allied to the PLO, and was in fact it's enemy. But thankfully General Sharon did not let these appallingly contradictory facts get in the way of a good killin' (when has he ever?).

There was an attack on a civilian bus a few months earlier, near the northern boarder, which was attributed to Arafat and the PLO. Also the attempted assassination of an Israeli diplomat in London, which although didn't kill him, left him severely disabled for life.

The latter is true, but as I say above, it was Abu Nidal and not PLO that was behind this. As for '78, that may be true, but I think there were other factors involved; and again, it was the case that it was not just in one direction that provocations were flying. Israel had, before '78, a history of operations within Lebanon that could be referred to as "terroristic" if they were carried out by somebody with a different flag.

One of the arguments given in favour of the invasion was that, in the process of invading Lebanon ("Operation Peace For Galilee"), a seperate peace could be hammered out; it was even spoken of in humanitarian terms. Peace through mass murder, indeed!

(On edit: to add more specific information on the bombing of an Israeli bus by the PLO: MARCH 1978. . . ARAFAT'S "FATAH" GUERRILLAS ATTACK BUS IN TEL AVIV, ISRAEL KILLING 35 PEOPLE. THREE DAYS LATER IDF FORCES PURSUE PLO TERRORISTS INTO SOUHERN LEBANON. ( UNITED NATIONS PASSES RESOLUTION 425 ) http://focusonjerusalem.com/lebanon.html)

Seems to be a fundamentalist Christian website. That act indeed happened, and may or may not have been a factor in the first full invasion of Lebanon, though I would encourage building one's case on a more reliable bedrock. That aside, one must always assume that the reasons a government spits out when they want to blow something up outside their borders are at best a fraction of their own internal reasons.

The shellings of the streets in K. Shemona resulted in residents living in bomb shelters for long stretches. Each house there is built with a reinforced windowless room to serve as a shelter. Life under those conditions is not normal. It is not as though one or two katushas fell in open fields. The city was in fact under siege. Sure, the residents sought shelter. Thank G-d there were no more casualties. Can a nation which frequently attacks its neighbor in this way be tolerated?

That was probably the intended point. Lebanese cities were being indescriminately bombed, and Hezbollah wanted to fire back just as some gesture of standing toe-to-toe with the IDF/IAF. At least during the 1990s, it was found by observers that nearly all of the katyushah firings were retaliations against the frequent Israeli bombing of civilians in Lebanon. That doesn't make it right, but there's a tremendous difference bewteen the two:--it was nothing at all like the destruction heaped upon Lebanon by Israeli rockets and bombs, but the retaliatory gestures are for some reason judged on an entirely different scale than the relentless bombings of Lebanese cities. I think it's the different flags, again--that seems to have a lot to do with how things are recorded in a lot of situations.

Your last line seeths with tragic irony:--while applied to the PLO it fits, to be fair, it also applies to Israel (and exponentially so if one factors in the actual scale of damage inflicted).

The IDF report leaves much out, most of the missing matieral is unflattering (that in itself is no surprise).
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Gimel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 12:05 PM
Response to Reply #4
31. Not blocking
this issue is considered to be one of the last to resolve, like the issue of Jerusalem, according to the Interim Agreement of Spt 28, 1995

The Continuing Committee shall decide by agreement on the modalities of admission of persons displaced from the West Bank and the Gaza Strip in 1967, together with necessary measures to prevent disruption and disorder.

Wye River Memorandum of October 23, 1998:

6. The Israeli and Palestinian sides also will launch a strategic economic dialogue to enhance their economic relationship. They will establish within the framework of the JEC an Ad Hoc Committee for this purpose. The committee will review the following four issues: (1) Israeli purchase taxes; (2) cooperation in combating vehicle theft; (3) dealing with unpaid Palestinian debts; and (4) the impact of Israeli standards as barriers to trade and the expansion of the A1 and A2 lists. The committee will submit an interim report within three weeks of the entry into force of this Memorandum, and within six weeks will submit its conclusions and recommendations to be implemented.

http://www.mfa.gov.il/mfa/go.asp?MFAH07o10

A. Security Actions

1. Outlawing and Combating Terrorist Organizations

The Palestinian side will make known its policy of zero tolerance for terror and violence against both sides.
A work plan developed by the Palestinian side will be shared with the U.S. and thereafter implementation will begin immediately to ensure the systematic and effective combat of terrorist organizations and their infrastructure.
In addition to the bilateral Israeli-Palestinian security cooperation, a U.S.-Palestinian committee will meet biweekly to review the steps being taken to eliminate terrorist cells and the support structure that plans, finances, supplies and abets terror. In these meetings, the Palestinian side will inform the U.S. fully of the actions it has taken to outlaw all organizations (or wings of organizations, as appropriate) of a military, terrorist or violent character and their support structure and to prevent them from operating in areas under its jurisdiction.
The Palestinian side will apprehend the specific individuals suspected of perpetrating acts of violence and terror for the purpose of further investigation, and prosecution and punishment of all persons involved in acts of violence and terror.
A U.S.-Palestinian ...
http://www.mfa.gov.il/mfa/go.asp?MFAH07o10

These agreements were partially implemented, and remain part of the Road Map.

However, the plan initiated by Saudi Arabia, put the "Right of Return" for Palestinians to Israel as part of a package deal. Therefore, as it was not open to negotiation, the plan was rejected. The Road Map is said to have incorporated elements of the Saudi plan.the "precondition of no right of return" does not exist in any plan.
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wellst0nev0ter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 02:38 AM
Response to Original message
14. It's Expected
Remeber, Arafat was willing to negotiate the "right of return" issue with the Israelis during the doomed Camp David talks who agreed to allow a few token refugees to return under the guise of "family reunification" only at their discretion. Arafat's exact quote was "We have to find a happy medium between the Israelis' demographic worries and our own concerns."

The "demographic" worries are quite odd, considering the fact that Sharon last year wanted to take in at least a million Jews into his country. That would be a major population pressure in itself, yet Sharon doesn't seem to mind at all. I'd guess it is the question of the types of immigrants the Israelis are willing to include, not the numbers.
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Muddleoftheroad Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-14-03 06:15 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. Israel
Israel is a nation that opens its doors to Jews from around the world. ALL nations choose which immigrants they prefer and which they don't. Israel is the homeland for Jews and, as such, has an open door policy.
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Tinoire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 01:43 AM
Response to Original message
27. Something STINKS! "Right-of-return survey sparks Palestinian riot"
My question- Just WHO commissioned this 'survey'?

Right-of-return survey sparks Palestinian riot
BY JAMES BENNET
New York Times

RAMALLAH, West Bank — A mob attacked an eminent Palestinian political scientist Sunday as he prepared to announce a survey of Palestinian refugees that indicated only a small minority would insist on a "right of return" to Israel as part of a peace agreement.

<snip>

"They are trying to send a message that the right of return is sacred, and that you who are negotiating are on notice," said Shikaki, a refugee himself.

Yasser Arafat, the Palestinian leader, has accused Abbas of botching negotiations with Israel on a new American-backed peace plan. The two leaders have not spoken to each other since Abbas threatened to resign in an argument last Monday night. "People are taking sides," Shikaki said. "The accusations are flying, and no one is being civil."

<snip>

Palestinians who fled or were driven from their homes during the Arab-Israeli war of 1948 claim a right to live in what is now Israel. Israel rejects the claim, fearing that Palestinians hope to achieve by demography what they have failed to do by force of arms — erase Israel's Jewish character.

<snip>

http://www.twincities.com/mld/pioneerpress/6297223.htm
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cantwealljustgetalong Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 01:09 PM
Response to Reply #27
32. "WHO commissioned this 'survey'"...
The Commissioner...
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tinnypriv Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-15-03 02:29 PM
Response to Reply #27
33. Survey is legit
The executive director who was attacked runs one of the best polling services for Palestinians (one of two, to be exact).
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