WaPo tracking poll 10/18: Bush 50 - Kerry 47

[Goldmund]

Nader has lost one point since yesterday, and Kerry has gained one.

[DaveinMD]

1. in the margin of

error. One more day and the race should be about even.

[Doosh]

2. some good news, I guess

Kerry gaining a point, still off mark

[DaveinMD]

3. again

its within the margin of error and as Bush's weekend evaporates from the sample, Kerry will gain.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Yeah...

In a true poll of polls we'd be down about two or three but the Gallup poll is a drag on the average...

[Teaser]

6. It's great news.

There is 1 huge Bush number in the survey still. Look at it when it went to the 50-47 on saturday. Indicates Friday was an outlier for Bush. That rolls off tomorrow...so tomorrow, barring another outlier for someone, we'll have a better handle on the state of the race.
As it is, yesterday looks like a big Kerry day, since we went up even though a big Bush number is still in the survey.

It's all good in the hood, my friend.

[Mr_Spock]

4. Haven't I seen this somewhere before?

Is this the same or different poll?

[Bush was AWOL]

7. Who's the most credible pollster?

Zogby. He put his reputation on the line last week calling the election for Kerry.

How many other pollsters are willing to do that right now? None that I know of.

If we GOTV, and if the votes are counted, Kerry wins easily.

Among committed voters we probably are down 3. But, undecideds will go to Kerry. If they have not decided for Bush by now, then they never will.

I'm very, very confident.