New Voter Returns in Battleground States

[Thrill]

WOW we really kicked their ass registering people in NH. 7,292 to 478

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20041018/ap_on_el_pr/new_voters_glance&cid=694&ncid=1963&sid=96378798

[WI_DEM]

1. but look at Iowa, the republicans kicked our butts there

[Thrill]

3. Maybe that explains

why the polls show them ahead there

[Doosh]

8. they targeted Iowa, Bush made 10 visits there

I'm not sure why they gave it such priority, maybe because Kerry (and Edwards) are already well known there from the primaries.

[sonicx]

10. We are gonna win Iowa - AP had a typo

here's the corrected info

IOWA: Added 80,795 voters overall, an increase of 3.9 percent. Democratic voters signed up at more than twice the rate of overall growth, adding 48,561, a 9 percent increase. Republicans added only 6,487 voters, up less than 1 percent.

[Ediacara]

9. CHECK AGAIN, YAHOO! MESSED UP

Yahoo! flubbed, Dems are ahead.

IOWA: Added 80,795 voters overall, an increase of 3.9 percent. Democratic voters signed up at more than twice the rate of overall growth, adding 48,561, a 9 percent increase. Republicans added only 6,487 voters, up less than 1 percent.

And at the bottom of the story:

(SUBS IOWA entry to correct transposed figures, now Democrats ahead)

[Arugula Latte]

12. Oh thank goodness it was a mix-up.

I thought those numbers sounded screwy in Iowa when I read that Yahoo piece.

[Catch22Dem]

2. WTF is up with Iowa?

[troublemaker]

4. Those are Karl Roves famous rural fundies who didn't vote in 2000

[Mike L]

5. Iowa is key.

If we win OH and IA, we can afford to lose WI. WI is not looking very good now.

Kerry and Edwards had better energize IA.

[sonicx]

6. AP goofed! Iowa's number was a typo!!!

here's the corrected numbers for the state

snip

IOWA: Added 80,795 voters overall, an increase of 3.9 percent. Democratic voters signed up at more than twice the rate of overall growth, adding 48,561, a 9 percent increase. Republicans added only 6,487 voters, up less than 1 percent.

snip

bad news is rupubs still beat us by a little in florida. :(

[Tesibria]

7. This is interesting - but the # don't add up

if you take their numbers and put them in excel -- nothing zeros out!!!

but -- that being said, this is all goooood news (except in FLA).

[Arugula Latte]

13. Are all the numbers in for Florida?

I was under the impression that they only had a partial count (?)

[sonicx]

14. no but...

overall, i think the pukes are gonna tie us or beat us by a little. :(

[kostya]

15. FL numbers look good to me

You assume the remainder (about 240,000) are independent and if Kerry's taking 60% of those as he is nationwide then we're in good shape, IF WE GET THOSE NEW VOTERS TO ACTUALLY VOTE!

[Tesibria]

11. Extrapolating -- still very good news for Dems

Overall voter affiliation (extrapolated from numbers in report)

--------------DEM---REP----IND
ARIZONA-----38%----36%---25%
FLORIDA------53%----47%
IOWA---------36%---43%---21%
NEVADA------43%---41%----16%
N. MEXICO----61%---39%
N. HAMP.-----45%---55%
PENN---------56%---33%----10%