New Ohio poll shows 13 pt swing for Kerry now leads 48-46

[59millionmorons]

The Cincinnati Enquirer (http://www.enquirer.com/midday/10/10202004_News_mday_ohiopoll20.html) Oct. 11-17. The poll was of 757 Likely Voters:

Kerry - 48%
Bush - 46%
Other - 1%
Unknown - 5%
MoE - 3.6%

13-point swing from September
Kerry - 43%
Bush - 54%
Other - 2%
Unknown - 1
MoE - 3.6%

[still_one]

1. This probably doesn't take into account the newly registered Democrats

[Bleacher Creature]

2. Again, the KEY number is 46%

Kerry's number is irrelevant.

[Philostopher]

3. That September poll is a bizarre outlier, though.

The previous (August) poll by the same organization had the same or similar numbers (I looked at the PDF file someone posted over in the Ohio forum). It went from 47% B* 45% K to the September result. Not sure what the deal was -- maybe the Naked Emperor prancing around hollering, maybe the Gooper Convention, I don't know. Whatever it was, it's as tied up now as it was in August -- and I can't think that's a bad thing, though it will guarantee they'll mess with inner-city polling places in Ohio, that's for sure.

At least the only highly-populous county I know of that's using electronic voting is Franklin (a big one, admittedly). I think the last I read there were either seven or nine counties with Sequoia machines; the rest of us will just have to make do with optical scan and punch card ballots, I guess. Must be upsetting, to Blackwell -- there's a possibility of getting caught throwing away paper ballots. I'm sure he hoped for a vapor ballot in much of the state that they could just wiggle their noses like Jeannie and make evaporate.

[mvd]

4. Great news!

:bounce: